Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.2%Indiana State

77.8%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -350

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 71

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreMissouri State 79

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricMissouri State

44.4MMH Power Index51.1

104.7Offensive Efficiency110.5

106.0Defensive Efficiency108.4

-1.3Net Efficiency2.1

0.1Strength of Schedule0.5

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

70.3Tempo67.9

53.6%Effective FG%51.8%

19.5%Turnover Rate16.4%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

28.8%Free Throw Rate42.9%

-0.9Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–44.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–104.7), net efficiency (2.1–-1.3), strength of schedule (0.5–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–108.4), shooting efficiency (53.6–51.8).

Final

Indiana State

73—71

Missouri State

Indiana State by 2 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATMissouri State

28-64FG26-63

44.0%FG%41.0%

12-403PT4-20

30.0%3PT%20.0%

5-10FT15-21

50.0%FT%71.0%

35Rebounds42

6Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists9

7Turnovers10

5Steals5

4Blocks6

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	40	9-15	6-10	0-1	4	2	0	1	24
Isaiah Swope	Guard	38	7-19	5-17	0-1	3	2	1	0	19
Jayson Kent	Forward	29	5-8	0-1	1-1	8	1	1	1	11
Robbie Avila	C	38	3-11	0-5	4-7	6	2	0	1	10
Julian Larry	Guard	37	3-5	1-3	0-0	6	7	3	0	7
Xavier Bledson	Guard	13	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Jake Wolfe	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Masen Miller	Guard	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aaron Gray	Forward	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alston Mason	Guard	38	11-18	2-8	2-2	2	1	0	0	26
NJ Benson	F	28	4-6	0-0	3-5	13	0	0	2	11
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	22	5-7	0-0	1-1	6	0	1	0	11
Matthew Lee	Guard	23	3-8	1-4	2-3	3	3	0	0	9
Cesare Edwards	Center	15	1-6	0-0	4-4	7	1	0	1	6
Donovan Clay	Guard	35	1-10	1-2	2-3	5	1	2	1	5
Chance Moore	G	11	1-4	0-2	1-3	2	1	2	2	3
Raphe Ayres	Guard	28	0-4	0-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

103.0Offensive Efficiency100.1

100.1Defensive Efficiency103.0

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

53.1%Effective FG%44.4%

53.1%True Shooting %48.6%

10.0%Turnover Rate13.9%

15.6%Free Throw Rate33.3%

62.5%3-Point Rate31.7%

2.29Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.