Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Providence

58.5%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADButler -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL168.3

MODEL MONEYLINEButler -141

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 82

Projected Total168.3

Projected ScoreButler 86

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricButler

54.2MMH Power Index52.7

115.0Offensive Efficiency111.7

113.2Defensive Efficiency109.1

1.8Net Efficiency2.6

4.0Strength of Schedule3.1

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

74.2Tempo71.1

55.0%Effective FG%51.2%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

37.3%Free Throw Rate42.9%

1.3Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Butler HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMButler holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (109.1–113.2), net efficiency (2.6–1.8), ball security (15.9–16.7), offensive rebounding (34.4–31.8).

Providence COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.2–52.7), offensive efficiency (115.0–111.7), strength of schedule (4.0–3.1).

Final

Providence

72—75

Butler

Butler by 3 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATButler

26-62FG28-54

42.0%FG%52.0%

10-263PT7-19

38.0%3PT%37.0%

10-16FT12-16

63.0%FT%75.0%

28Rebounds40

7Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists18

8Turnovers16

10Steals5

1Blocks2

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	30	6-15	3-6	5-8	4	2	1	0	20
Devin Carter	Guard	40	6-16	2-7	4-4	5	2	1	1	18
Ticket Gaines	Guard	40	3-8	2-5	0-0	5	1	3	0	8
Rich Barron	F	32	3-9	1-4	1-2	3	0	1	0	8
Garwey Dual	G	24	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	2	3	0	7
Jayden Pierre	G	22	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	5	0	0	7
Rafael Castro	F	12	2-4	0-0	0-2	4	1	1	0	4

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Davis	Guard	30	6-9	4-7	4-4	8	0	1	0	20
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	32	5-12	0-3	2-2	7	1	0	1	12
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	38	5-9	0-1	1-3	4	8	1	0	11
Posh Alexander	Guard	36	3-12	1-4	3-4	8	8	3	0	10
Jalen Thomas	Forward	20	4-5	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	0	9
Finley Bizjack	G	18	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Andre Screen	Center	15	2-2	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	0	5
Landon Moore	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Boden Kapke	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Augusto Cassia	F	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

102.7Offensive Efficiency107.0

107.0Defensive Efficiency102.7

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

50.0%Effective FG%58.3%

51.7%True Shooting %60.9%

11.3%Turnover Rate23.0%

25.8%Free Throw Rate29.6%

41.9%3-Point Rate35.2%

1.63Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Butler won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.