American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.4%American University

34.6%Holy Cross

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL144.3

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -189

Holy Cross

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 74

Projected Total144.3

Projected ScoreHoly Cross 70

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricHoly Cross

48.2MMH Power Index37.9

110.6Offensive Efficiency103.3

105.8Defensive Efficiency110.9

4.8Net Efficiency-7.6

-4.3Strength of Schedule-2.6

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

67.5Tempo66.1

52.6%Effective FG%49.8%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.4%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %22.4%

30.1%Free Throw Rate32.5%

3.3Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–37.9), offensive efficiency (110.6–103.3), defensive efficiency (105.8–110.9), net efficiency (4.8–-7.6).

Holy Cross COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.6–-4.3), ball security (15.4–15.7), free throw rate (32.5–30.1).

Final

American University

56—58

Holy Cross

Holy Cross by 2 • 58.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATHoly Cross

21-48FG22-53

44.0%FG%42.0%

7-163PT6-19

44.0%3PT%32.0%

7-9FT8-13

78.0%FT%62.0%

29Rebounds33

4Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists13

10Turnovers8

2Steals4

1Blocks4

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	35	7-16	2-5	2-2	2	2	0	0	18
Matt Mayock	F	35	6-12	3-5	2-2	1	1	0	0	17
Greg Jones	F	35	3-6	2-3	0-0	7	1	0	0	8
Lincoln Ball	Guard	33	2-4	0-0	1-2	8	2	1	0	5
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	33	2-7	0-3	0-0	5	3	1	0	4
Chris Gleaton	Guard	14	1-3	0-0	2-3	4	0	0	0	4
Adrian Samuels	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Noah Jones	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Mason Whittaker	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Holy Cross

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bo Montgomery	Guard	36	6-14	1-4	0-0	5	4	1	0	13
Caleb Kenney	Forward	25	4-7	0-0	4-6	7	2	2	4	12
A.J. Wills	G	19	4-10	2-5	2-3	3	1	1	0	12
Joe Nugent	F	35	3-8	2-7	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Will Batchelder	G	28	3-8	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Kahlil Singleton	G	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
DeAndre Williams	G	28	0-3	0-1	2-2	4	4	0	0	2
Louth-M Coulibaly	Forward	9	1-1	0-0	0-2	2	2	0	0	2
Declan Ryan	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.3Possessions58.3

96.1Offensive Efficiency99.5

99.5Defensive Efficiency96.1

-3.4Net Efficiency3.4

51.0%Effective FG%47.2%

53.6%True Shooting %49.0%

17.2%Turnover Rate13.8%

18.8%Free Throw Rate24.5%

33.3%3-Point Rate35.8%

0.90Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Holy Cross won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 58.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.