Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Fairfield

55.5%Saint Peter's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Peter's -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Peter's -125

Saint Peter's

17-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 70

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreSaint Peter's 73

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricSaint Peter's

50.1MMH Power Index47.5

109.6Offensive Efficiency106.6

105.4Defensive Efficiency103.0

4.2Net Efficiency3.6

-3.4Strength of Schedule-3.8

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.5

67.8Tempo66.4

49.1%Effective FG%47.6%

15.0%Turnover Rate17.5%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %36.8%

28.4%Free Throw Rate36.6%

2.8Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–47.5), offensive efficiency (109.6–106.6), net efficiency (4.2–3.6), strength of schedule (-3.4–-3.8).

Saint Peter's COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.0–105.4), offensive rebounding (36.8–36.0), free throw rate (36.6–28.4).

Final

Fairfield

64—62

Saint Peter's

Fairfield by 2 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATSaint Peter's

22-44FG23-55

50.0%FG%42.0%

7-193PT8-26

37.0%3PT%31.0%

13-21FT8-11

62.0%FT%73.0%

29Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds11

6Assists12

16Turnovers17

10Steals11

1Blocks4

15Fouls21

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Fields	Guard	39	6-13	4-9	1-2	3	1	3	0	17
Jalen Leach	Not Available	38	6-9	2-4	3-4	7	1	2	0	17
James Johns Jr.	Guard	28	4-5	1-2	2-5	3	1	1	0	11
Jasper Floyd	G	38	3-8	0-3	3-4	4	2	3	0	9
Birima Seck	Forward	21	2-5	0-0	1-2	5	1	1	1	5
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	19	1-2	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	0	5
Jack Brown	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Matt Curtis	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Peter's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Roy Clarke	Guard	38	8-14	1-5	4-5	4	4	2	0	21
Marcus Randolph	Guard	31	7-13	4-9	1-1	1	2	2	0	19
Elijah Wood	Guard	16	2-6	1-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Mouhamed Sow	F	24	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	1	4
Armoni Zeigler	G	19	1-6	1-3	1-2	2	1	1	0	4
Brent Bland	G	23	1-4	1-3	0-0	6	0	1	0	3
Latrell Reid	Guard	27	1-5	0-1	0-0	4	3	0	0	2
Stephon Roberts	Forward	13	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	1	2	3	2
Michael Houge	F	9	1-4	0-0	0-1	4	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

99.1Offensive Efficiency96.0

96.0Defensive Efficiency99.1

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

58.0%Effective FG%49.1%

59.3%True Shooting %51.5%

25.4%Turnover Rate25.7%

47.7%Free Throw Rate20.0%

43.2%3-Point Rate47.3%

0.38Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.