Omaha

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.7%Omaha

89.3%North Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -15.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -835

North Dakota State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOmaha 69

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 85

Team Comparison

OmahaMetricNorth Dakota State

44.5MMH Power Index59

110.2Offensive Efficiency115.4

110.8Defensive Efficiency100.8

-0.6Net Efficiency14.6

-2.5Strength of Schedule-4.6

-4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

69.0Tempo69.6

53.6%Effective FG%54.5%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.5%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

34.0%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-0.5Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–44.5), offensive efficiency (115.4–110.2), defensive efficiency (100.8–110.8), net efficiency (14.6–-0.6).

Omaha COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.5–-4.6), free throw rate (34.0–31.3).

Final

Omaha

79—81

North Dakota State

North Dakota State by 2 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OmahaTEAM STATNorth Dakota State

27-66FG29-54

41.0%FG%54.0%

9-243PT13-26

38.0%3PT%50.0%

16-20FT10-16

80.0%FT%63.0%

34Rebounds31

10Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists18

10Turnovers13

5Steals2

1Blocks1

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Omaha

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Frankie Fidler	Forward	39	7-16	4-7	4-4	6	4	1	0	22
Nick Davis	Forward	29	4-10	0-0	4-4	6	2	0	0	12
Grant Stubblefield	G	14	4-5	1-1	1-2	5	1	2	0	10
Marquel Sutton	F	34	3-10	0-1	2-3	6	0	0	1	8
Jamal Ambrose	F	9	3-4	2-3	0-1	1	0	0	0	8
Tony Osburn	G	22	2-6	0-4	3-4	2	1	1	0	7
JJ White	G	33	2-7	0-3	2-2	6	1	1	0	6
Jaeden Marshall	G	18	2-7	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Marcel Bryant	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Morgan	Forward	26	7-10	1-2	3-5	7	3	0	0	18
Boden Skunberg	G	36	5-13	3-8	0-0	4	3	0	0	13
Jacari White	G	33	4-7	4-6	0-0	3	3	0	1	12
Noah Feddersen	C	36	4-7	2-3	1-2	8	5	1	0	11
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	30	2-6	0-1	6-9	2	4	0	0	10
Lance Waddles	G	18	4-6	2-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	10
Darik Dissette	Guard	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Jeremiah Burke	F	4	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Tajavis Miller	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

108.8Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency108.8

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

47.7%Effective FG%65.7%

52.3%True Shooting %65.7%

13.2%Turnover Rate18.7%

30.3%Free Throw Rate29.6%

36.4%3-Point Rate48.1%

0.90Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.