Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.2%Central Arkansas

18.8%North Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -10.1

PROJECTED TOTAL166.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -432

North Florida

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 88

Projected Total166.5

Projected ScoreNorth Florida 78

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricNorth Florida

54MMH Power Index36.3

113.9Offensive Efficiency109.4

105.2Defensive Efficiency121.1

8.7Net Efficiency-11.7

-3.9Strength of Schedule-0.6

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.3

71.0Tempo72.8

54.3%Effective FG%53.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate29.5%

6.1Average Margin-8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–36.3), offensive efficiency (113.9–109.4), defensive efficiency (105.2–121.1), net efficiency (8.7–-11.7).

North Florida COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-3.9).

Final

Central Arkansas

79—77

North Florida

Central Arkansas by 2 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATNorth Florida

32-62FG23-56

52.0%FG%41.0%

7-183PT13-37

39.0%3PT%35.0%

8-11FT18-21

73.0%FT%86.0%

34Rebounds28

9Offensive Rebounds7

17Assists11

11Turnovers13

6Steals9

2Blocks2

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Masai Olowokere	Guard	34	5-9	1-1	3-3	2	0	2	0	14
Elias Cato	Forward	32	6-16	1-5	1-2	10	2	0	1	14
Tucker Anderson	F	33	5-7	2-3	0-0	7	2	2	1	12
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	20	5-7	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	10
Javion Guy-King	G	19	4-5	2-2	0-0	2	4	0	0	10
Daniel Sofield	Guard	28	2-9	0-5	4-6	1	3	0	0	8
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	10	3-4	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Johannes Kirsipuu	G	21	2-5	0-1	0-0	4	4	2	0	4
Caleb Carr	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

North Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chaz Lanier	Guard	38	7-14	2-6	5-5	8	3	0	0	21
Nate Lliteras	Guard	28	5-12	2-6	4-5	2	1	2	1	16
Oscar Berry	Guard	24	4-9	3-7	2-3	4	0	0	0	13
Jake van der Heijden	Forward	23	4-5	4-5	0-0	5	0	1	0	12
Max Hrdlicka	Guard	24	2-7	1-6	4-4	1	0	3	0	9
Jaylen Smith	G	18	1-5	1-4	1-2	1	1	1	0	4
Dorian James	Guard	29	0-3	0-2	2-2	2	5	1	1	2
Jasai Miles	G	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

111.9Offensive Efficiency109.1

109.1Defensive Efficiency111.9

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

57.3%Effective FG%52.7%

58.8%True Shooting %58.4%

15.9%Turnover Rate18.1%

17.7%Free Throw Rate37.5%

29.0%3-Point Rate66.1%

1.55Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.