Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.2%Middle Tennessee

56.8%Florida International

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida International -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.2

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida International -131

Florida International

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 77

Projected Total156.2

Projected ScoreFlorida International 80

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricFlorida International

52.5MMH Power Index50.4

109.6Offensive Efficiency109.6

105.7Defensive Efficiency105.9

3.9Net Efficiency3.7

0.4Strength of Schedule-1.5

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

68.8Tempo73.6

52.2%Effective FG%51.6%

16.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %35.1%

33.2%Free Throw Rate40.1%

2.7Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Middle Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiddle Tennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–50.4), defensive efficiency (105.7–105.9), net efficiency (3.9–3.7), strength of schedule (0.4–-1.5).

Florida International COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (35.1–31.3), free throw rate (40.1–33.2), average scoring margin (2.8–2.7).

Final

Middle Tennessee

68—66

Florida International

Middle Tennessee by 2 • 70.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATFlorida International

23-52FG27-69

44.0%FG%39.0%

5-153PT5-21

33.0%3PT%24.0%

17-29FT7-11

59.0%FT%64.0%

43Rebounds38

12Offensive Rebounds13

7Assists9

18Turnovers8

5Steals10

4Blocks4

14Fouls23

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elias King	Guard	36	6-11	2-4	4-6	9	0	1	1	18
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	36	5-7	1-2	2-4	13	1	1	1	13
Justin Bufford	Guard	34	5-10	1-2	1-4	7	1	1	1	12
Jestin Porter	G	32	3-13	0-5	5-6	1	2	0	0	11
Jalen Jordan	Guard	13	3-4	1-1	1-3	1	0	1	0	8
Jacob Johnson	Guard	29	0-4	0-0	2-4	6	1	1	0	2
Tre Green	G	16	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Chris Loofe	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	2

Florida International

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Arturo Dean	G	23	6-17	2-3	0-3	8	1	2	0	14
Petar Krivokapic	Guard	26	5-11	2-7	0-0	1	1	0	0	12
Javaunte Hawkins	Guard	32	4-12	0-5	2-2	1	4	3	0	10
George Pridgett Jr.	Guard	19	2-5	1-3	2-2	4	2	3	0	7
Okechukwu Okeke	F	15	2-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	2	6
Seth Pinkney	Center	15	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1	5
Jayden Brewer	G	19	2-9	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	0	4
Dante Wilcox	Forward	16	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Jaidon Lipscomb	G	19	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jaden Grant	Guard	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.5Possessions70.5

96.5Offensive Efficiency93.6

93.6Defensive Efficiency96.5

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

49.0%Effective FG%42.8%

51.7%True Shooting %44.5%

25.1%Turnover Rate11.6%

55.8%Free Throw Rate15.9%

28.8%3-Point Rate30.4%

0.39Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.