Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.9%Ohio

83.1%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL162.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -492

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 75

Projected Total162.3

Projected ScoreArkansas State 87

Team Comparison

OhioMetricArkansas State

48MMH Power Index57.7

109.7Offensive Efficiency113.1

110.7Defensive Efficiency105.3

-1.0Net Efficiency7.8

-0.1Strength of Schedule-1.0

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

71.0Tempo73.3

52.0%Effective FG%52.7%

15.3%Turnover Rate19.4%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

37.8%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-0.7Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–48.0), offensive efficiency (113.1–109.7), defensive efficiency (105.3–110.7), net efficiency (7.8–-1.0).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.1–-1.0), ball security (15.3–19.4).

Final

Ohio

87—100

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 13 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATArkansas State

32-62FG37-58

52.0%FG%64.0%

13-283PT11-22

46.0%3PT%50.0%

10-11FT15-18

91.0%FT%83.0%

21Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists18

9Turnovers9

4Steals6

2Blocks5

12Fouls12

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Hunter	Guard	32	8-16	3-5	1-1	4	8	1	0	20
Ajay Sheldon	G	23	5-9	5-8	2-2	1	3	1	0	17
AJ Clayton	Forward	29	5-11	1-7	2-2	5	2	0	2	13
Miles Brown	Guard	32	4-8	2-4	1-2	1	0	2	0	11
Aidan Hadaway	F	25	5-9	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	10
Ike Cornish	G	15	2-4	2-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	8
Gabe Wiznitzer	Center	11	2-4	0-0	1-1	2	2	0	0	5
Elmore James IV	G	33	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Taryn Todd	Guard	26	8-13	0-1	4-5	7	1	2	0	20
Derrian Ford	G	34	8-12	1-4	2-2	4	4	1	0	19
Izaiyah Nelson	F	26	7-9	1-1	2-2	4	0	0	2	17
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	37	4-6	4-6	4-5	6	1	0	1	16
Julian Lual	Guard	17	4-8	3-6	0-0	2	0	1	1	11
Caleb Fields	Guard	37	3-6	1-2	1-2	3	11	2	0	8
Zane Butler	Guard	5	2-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	6
Avery Felts	Guard	18	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

131.0Offensive Efficiency150.6

150.6Defensive Efficiency131.0

-19.6Net Efficiency19.6

62.1%Effective FG%73.3%

64.7%True Shooting %75.1%

13.4%Turnover Rate13.7%

17.7%Free Throw Rate31.0%

45.2%3-Point Rate37.9%

1.67Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.