Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%Buffalo

60.9%Georgia Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia Southern -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL161.2

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgia Southern -156

Georgia Southern

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 79

Projected Total161.2

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 82

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricGeorgia Southern

49.7MMH Power Index49.1

114.9Offensive Efficiency112.3

112.2Defensive Efficiency110.6

2.7Net Efficiency1.7

0.0Strength of Schedule-2.2

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.7

67.9Tempo72.0

56.1%Effective FG%52.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.5%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

40.4%Free Throw Rate39.5%

1.8Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–49.1), offensive efficiency (114.9–112.3), net efficiency (2.7–1.7), strength of schedule (0.0–-2.2).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.6–112.2), recent form (1.7–-5.9), ball security (14.5–16.1).

Final

Buffalo

82—81

Georgia Southern

Buffalo by 1 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATGeorgia Southern

33-64FG28-71

52.0%FG%39.0%

4-153PT10-36

27.0%3PT%28.0%

12-14FT15-19

86.0%FT%79.0%

38Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds15

13Assists9

12Turnovers10

8Steals6

8Blocks4

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Adams	Guard	43	11-24	1-7	1-2	3	7	1	1	24
Sy Chatman	Forward	45	9-20	1-3	4-4	12	1	1	3	23
Zaakir Williamson	F	20	5-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	10
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	26	3-6	0-1	2-2	2	4	1	0	8
Ryan Sabol	G	30	1-3	1-3	4-5	0	1	1	0	7
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	21	3-3	1-1	0-0	5	0	3	3	7
Bryson Wilson	G	18	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	0	1	1	3
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	22	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eren Banks	G	40	9-21	2-8	5-6	5	3	1	0	25
Jamar Franklin	G	29	5-10	4-8	1-2	1	1	0	0	15
Avantae Parker	F	26	6-12	0-2	1-1	9	2	2	2	13
Eugene Brown III	Forward	38	4-8	1-5	3-4	6	0	0	1	12
Nate Brafford	F	34	3-8	3-6	2-2	8	1	1	0	11
Cam Bryant	Forward	14	1-6	0-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
David Jones	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Collin Kuhl	F	11	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	1	1
Malik Tidwell	Guard	17	0-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Derrick Harris Jr.	Guard	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

111.0Offensive Efficiency109.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency111.0

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

54.7%Effective FG%46.5%

58.0%True Shooting %50.6%

16.5%Turnover Rate13.3%

21.9%Free Throw Rate26.8%

23.4%3-Point Rate50.7%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Buffalo won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.