Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.8%Northern Illinois

95.2%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -19.4

PROJECTED TOTAL146.8

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -1983

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 64

Projected Total146.8

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 83

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricSouth Alabama

29.2MMH Power Index51.4

99.7Offensive Efficiency110.3

111.6Defensive Efficiency103.9

-11.9Net Efficiency6.4

-2.1Strength of Schedule-3.7

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.7Tempo67.4

48.5%Effective FG%53.2%

21.3%Turnover Rate12.8%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate39.8%

-8.3Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–29.2), offensive efficiency (110.3–99.7), defensive efficiency (103.9–111.6), net efficiency (6.4–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.1–-3.7), offensive rebounding (31.7–24.9).

Final

Northern Illinois

66—75

South Alabama

South Alabama by 9 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATSouth Alabama

24-54FG28-62

44.0%FG%45.0%

7-263PT13-27

27.0%3PT%48.0%

11-16FT6-11

69.0%FT%55.0%

38Rebounds31

12Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists17

15Turnovers7

2Steals10

6Blocks2

10Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Amos	F	37	7-18	1-8	1-2	5	2	1	0	16
Zarique Nutter	F	40	6-14	1-4	2-2	10	4	0	0	15
Zion Russell	G	39	4-9	3-6	2-2	8	2	1	0	13
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	29	4-4	1-1	3-6	7	0	0	5	12
Will Lovings-Watts	Guard	40	3-9	1-7	1-2	1	4	0	1	8
Harvin Ibarguen	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Oluwasegun Durosinmi	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ethan Butler	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrell Jones	Guard	37	8-13	5-7	2-2	1	2	3	0	23
Julian Margrave	F	32	4-9	4-8	0-0	6	0	2	0	12
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	22	4-7	1-2	1-2	2	0	2	2	10
Marshall Kearing	Forward	12	4-9	0-1	0-1	6	1	0	0	8
Judah Brown	Forward	20	2-6	1-3	1-2	4	2	0	0	6
Samuel Tabe	Guard	18	3-6	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Marcus Millender	G	38	1-6	1-2	2-2	6	8	2	0	5
Isiah Gaiter	Guard	11	1-3	1-3	0-2	0	1	0	0	3
Thomas Howell	Forward	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

103.3Offensive Efficiency117.4

117.4Defensive Efficiency103.3

-14.1Net Efficiency14.1

50.9%Effective FG%55.6%

53.6%True Shooting %55.8%

23.2%Turnover Rate11.1%

29.6%Free Throw Rate17.7%

48.1%3-Point Rate43.5%

0.80Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.