North Alabama

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%North Alabama

81.4%Jacksonville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.0

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville -438

Jacksonville

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Alabama 69

Projected Total148.0

Projected ScoreJacksonville 80

Team Comparison

North AlabamaMetricJacksonville

34.9MMH Power Index43.6

104.4Offensive Efficiency109.8

116.7Defensive Efficiency110.3

-12.3Net Efficiency-0.5

-1.2Strength of Schedule-4.8

-16.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.2

66.5Tempo66.6

48.9%Effective FG%51.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.9%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

39.1%Free Throw Rate33.9%

-8.2Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–34.9), offensive efficiency (109.8–104.4), defensive efficiency (110.3–116.7), net efficiency (-0.5–-12.3).

North Alabama COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-4.8), free throw rate (39.1–33.9).

Final

North Alabama

63—67

Jacksonville

Jacksonville by 4 • 62.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North AlabamaTEAM STATJacksonville

19-51FG22-61

37.0%FG%36.0%

7-193PT3-21

37.0%3PT%14.0%

18-25FT20-30

72.0%FT%67.0%

26Rebounds45

7Offensive Rebounds21

7Assists8

8Turnovers6

1Steals6

3Blocks1

23Fouls20

Player Box Score

North Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KJ Johnson	Guard	34	3-8	0-0	12-16	3	1	1	0	18
Jacari Lane	G	36	3-11	0-2	3-4	3	1	0	0	9
Will Soucie	Guard	33	3-5	3-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	9
Tim Smith Jr.	Forward	30	2-7	2-6	3-5	5	0	0	2	9
Dallas Howell	F	21	3-8	2-6	0-0	5	0	0	1	8
Eoin Nelson	Center	6	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Damian Forrest	Forward	27	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Detalian Brown	Guard	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Josiah Fulcher	Guard	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert McCray V	G	35	7-17	0-4	4-8	4	1	1	0	18
Bryce Workman	Forward	29	4-13	0-2	5-8	14	2	1	0	13
Gyasi Powell	Guard	24	4-10	3-7	1-2	3	0	1	0	12
Stephon Payne	F	30	3-4	0-0	5-7	10	1	0	0	11
Jarius Cook	Guard	36	2-6	0-4	3-3	1	3	3	0	7
Zach Bell	G	24	2-7	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	1	4
Donovan Rivers	F	5	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
DeeJuan Pruitt	Forward	17	0-2	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.1Possessions62.1

101.4Offensive Efficiency107.9

107.9Defensive Efficiency101.4

-6.4Net Efficiency6.4

44.1%Effective FG%38.5%

50.1%True Shooting %44.5%

12.5%Turnover Rate10.0%

49.0%Free Throw Rate49.2%

37.3%3-Point Rate34.4%

0.88Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Jacksonville won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 62.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.