Eastern Illinois

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.9%Eastern Illinois

79.1%Morehead State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorehead State -8.8

PROJECTED TOTAL144.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMorehead State -378

Morehead State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 68

Projected Total144.2

Projected ScoreMorehead State 76

Team Comparison

Eastern IllinoisMetricMorehead State

39.9MMH Power Index47.3

99.6Offensive Efficiency110.8

104.4Defensive Efficiency110.0

-4.8Net Efficiency0.8

-2.4Strength of Schedule-4.0

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.1

67.4Tempo67.9

47.5%Effective FG%51.3%

18.5%Turnover Rate17.3%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %36.4%

33.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-3.2Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–39.9), offensive efficiency (110.8–99.6), net efficiency (0.8–-4.8), recent form (3.1–-4.7).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.4–110.0), strength of schedule (-2.4–-4.0).

Final

Eastern Illinois

57—69

Morehead State

Morehead State by 12 • 62.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern IllinoisTEAM STATMorehead State

23-59FG23-44

39.0%FG%52.0%

1-73PT6-19

14.0%3PT%32.0%

10-13FT17-23

77.0%FT%74.0%

29Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds7

4Assists15

6Turnovers14

8Steals3

—Blocks9

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kyndall Davis	G	40	8-18	0-3	3-4	10	0	4	19
Corey Sawyer Jr.	Guard	33	6-15	1-3	0-1	2	1	2	13
Tiger Booker	Guard	37	3-12	0-0	2-2	3	3	0	8
Jermaine Hamlin	Forward	22	3-4	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	7
Dan Luers	Guard	29	2-5	0-1	1-1	1	0	0	5
Sincere Malone	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	2
Jaylin Gibson	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	2
Rodolfo Bolis	Forward	14	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	1
Lazar Grbovic	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Minix	Forward	37	10-15	0-2	6-7	10	4	1	2	26
Kalil Thomas	Guard	34	4-6	4-6	2-2	7	2	0	0	14
Zach Iyeyemi	Forward	17	3-4	0-0	6-9	2	0	0	2	12
Dieonte Miles	Forward	20	2-3	0-0	3-5	5	1	0	0	7
Drew Thelwell	Guard	38	2-7	1-5	0-0	4	6	2	1	5
Eddie Ricks III	F	35	1-7	1-6	0-0	8	2	0	2	3
Jerone Morton	G	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	2

Advanced Game Stats

62.1Possessions62.1

91.8Offensive Efficiency111.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency91.8

-19.3Net Efficiency19.3

39.8%Effective FG%59.1%

43.7%True Shooting %62.8%

9.7%Turnover Rate22.6%

22.0%Free Throw Rate52.3%

11.9%3-Point Rate43.2%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 62.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.