East Carolina

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.7%East Carolina

26.3%UTSA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Carolina -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Carolina -280

UTSA

5-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 78

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreUTSA 73

Team Comparison

East CarolinaMetricUTSA

44.3MMH Power Index30.5

102.0Offensive Efficiency99.0

110.5Defensive Efficiency115.0

-8.5Net Efficiency-16.0

2.6Strength of Schedule-1.2

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.6

70.1Tempo70.2

46.7%Effective FG%45.9%

17.4%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

40.2%Free Throw Rate29.9%

-5.9Average Margin-11.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.3–30.5), offensive efficiency (102.0–99.0), defensive efficiency (110.5–115.0), net efficiency (-8.5–-16.0).

UTSA COUNTERS WITHball security (17.0–17.4).

Final

East Carolina

84—73

UTSA

East Carolina by 11 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East CarolinaTEAM STATUTSA

33-72FG22-53

46.0%FG%42.0%

13-333PT10-26

39.0%3PT%38.0%

5-9FT19-21

56.0%FT%90.0%

37Rebounds35

16Offensive Rebounds11

21Assists8

6Turnovers12

10Steals4

1Blocks2

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Johnson	Forward	37	10-19	7-11	3-5	9	0	2	0	30
RJ Felton	Guard	34	6-16	3-10	1-2	6	2	1	0	16
Ezra Ausar	F	26	5-10	0-1	1-1	3	1	0	1	11
Cam Hayes	Guard	27	4-6	2-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	10
Jaden Walker	Guard	34	3-9	0-2	0-1	8	13	2	0	6
Bobby Pettiford	Guard	10	2-8	1-4	0-0	0	3	0	0	5
Cyr Malonga	C	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Kalib LaCount	Guard	15	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	4	0	2
Callum Richard	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UTSA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	26	6-11	1-4	1-2	4	3	0	0	14
PJ Carter	G	18	3-5	1-2	5-5	5	0	0	0	12
Adante' Holiman	G	27	3-9	3-7	2-2	3	2	2	0	11
Carlton Linguard Jr.	Center	28	2-4	2-3	2-2	5	0	0	1	8
Dre Fuller Jr.	Guard	15	2-7	1-5	3-4	6	1	1	0	8
Christian Tucker	Guard	29	2-6	1-2	2-2	2	2	1	0	7
Trey Edmonds	Center	23	2-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	6
Isaiah Wyatt	Guard	11	1-4	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Massal Diouf	Forward	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Chandler Cuthrell	F	8	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Nazar Mahmoud	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

128.8Offensive Efficiency112.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency128.8

16.9Net Efficiency-16.9

54.9%Effective FG%50.9%

55.1%True Shooting %58.0%

9.1%Turnover Rate18.8%

12.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

45.8%3-Point Rate49.1%

3.50Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

East Carolina won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.