UNC Asheville

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%UNC Asheville

52.7%South Carolina Upstate

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Carolina Upstate -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL148.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Carolina Upstate -111

South Carolina Upstate

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Asheville 73

Projected Total148.6

Projected ScoreSouth Carolina Upstate 75

Team Comparison

UNC AshevilleMetricSouth Carolina Upstate

47.2MMH Power Index43.6

107.5Offensive Efficiency104.5

106.8Defensive Efficiency103.7

0.7Net Efficiency0.8

-0.5Strength of Schedule-3.8

-5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

68.3Tempo71.1

52.0%Effective FG%50.3%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.6%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %30.1%

40.2%Free Throw Rate34.0%

0.5Average Margin0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Asheville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Asheville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.2–43.6), offensive efficiency (107.5–104.5), strength of schedule (-0.5–-3.8), shooting efficiency (52.0–50.3).

South Carolina Upstate COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–106.8), net efficiency (0.8–0.7), recent form (-4.9–-5.5).

Final

UNC Asheville

77—66

South Carolina Upstate

UNC Asheville by 11 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC AshevilleTEAM STATSouth Carolina Upstate

24-52FG24-56

46.0%FG%43.0%

10-253PT8-27

40.0%3PT%30.0%

19-29FT10-13

66.0%FT%77.0%

32Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists11

14Turnovers20

13Steals6

4Blocks3

13Fouls23

Player Box Score

UNC Asheville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Drew Pember	Forward	35	6-17	5-11	11-16	16	2	0	2	28
Caleb Burgess	Guard	32	4-7	1-2	5-8	3	5	0	0	14
Nick McMullen	Forward	26	5-8	0-0	2-3	4	2	3	1	12
Trent Stephney	Guard	22	3-4	2-3	0-0	2	2	4	0	8
Fletcher Abee	Guard	29	3-7	1-5	0-0	1	1	4	0	7
Josh Banks	Guard	31	2-5	1-4	1-2	0	1	2	0	6
Toyaz Solomon	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jamon Battle	Forward	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Greg Gantt Jr.	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

South Carolina Upstate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Breazeale	Guard	24	4-8	3-5	2-2	0	4	0	0	13
Justin Bailey	G	19	5-9	1-5	0-0	6	0	0	0	11
Nick Alves	Guard	19	3-9	1-6	4-6	2	1	0	1	11
Ahmir Langlais	Forward	29	4-4	0-0	0-0	7	1	1	1	8
Trae Broadnax	G	32	2-6	1-2	2-2	4	3	0	0	7
Floyd Rideau Jr.	Guard	17	2-4	1-3	2-3	0	0	0	0	7
Miguel Ayesa	Guard	20	2-6	1-5	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Jorge Ochoa	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Jordyn Surratt	F	22	0-5	0-1	0-0	5	2	3	1	0
Eddie Placer	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Thomas Sheida	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

107.7Offensive Efficiency92.3

92.3Defensive Efficiency107.7

15.4Net Efficiency-15.4

55.8%Effective FG%50.0%

58.5%True Shooting %53.1%

19.8%Turnover Rate27.7%

55.8%Free Throw Rate23.2%

48.1%3-Point Rate48.2%

0.93Assist / Turnover0.55

Game Summary

UNC Asheville won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.