SE Louisiana

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%SE Louisiana

69.0%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL131.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -223

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSE Louisiana 63

Projected Total131.1

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 68

Team Comparison

SE LouisianaMetricNorthwestern State

38.7MMH Power Index41.3

98.4Offensive Efficiency104.0

106.4Defensive Efficiency109.0

-8.0Net Efficiency-5.0

0.2Strength of Schedule-1.6

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

63.9Tempo63.6

47.0%Effective FG%49.5%

18.5%Turnover Rate17.6%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

38.9%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-5.1Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–38.7), offensive efficiency (104.0–98.4), net efficiency (-5.0–-8.0), recent form (-4.9–-11.9).

SE Louisiana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.4–109.0), strength of schedule (0.2–-1.6), offensive rebounding (29.4–27.1).

Final

SE Louisiana

69—59

Northwestern State

SE Louisiana by 10 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SE LouisianaTEAM STATNorthwestern State

26-48FG22-63

54.0%FG%35.0%

7-203PT5-27

35.0%3PT%19.0%

10-18FT10-16

56.0%FT%63.0%

37Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds14

16Assists11

17Turnovers10

2Steals7

6Blocks2

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

SE Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Caldwell	Guard	34	6-10	1-3	2-4	8	1	0	1	15
Roger McFarlane	Guard	35	4-10	2-5	1-2	10	1	0	0	11
Dylan Canoville	Forward	19	5-5	0-0	0-2	5	2	0	5	10
Brody Rowbury	F	21	2-2	0-0	4-4	2	0	1	0	8
Kam Burton	G	11	3-5	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Avery Wilson	Guard	6	1-3	0-2	0-2	0	0	0	0	2
Alec Woodard	Guard	35	0-3	0-2	1-2	2	4	1	0	1
Max Brackmann	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cliff Davis	G	38	6-18	3-12	2-2	5	3	3	0	17
Chris Mubiru	G	23	3-11	1-7	2-2	3	1	0	0	9
Chase Forte	G	28	3-10	0-3	2-4	2	5	2	0	8
Jimel Lane	F	29	3-4	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	1	7
Braelon Bush	G	28	1-10	1-5	2-2	2	0	1	0	5
Duane Posey	G	21	2-3	0-0	1-2	7	0	1	1	5
Justin Wilson	Forward	18	2-3	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	0	4
Jae Slack	F	8	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
J.C. Riley Jr.	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

104.4Offensive Efficiency89.3

89.3Defensive Efficiency104.4

15.1Net Efficiency-15.1

61.5%Effective FG%38.9%

61.0%True Shooting %41.8%

25.9%Turnover Rate15.0%

37.5%Free Throw Rate25.4%

41.7%3-Point Rate42.9%

0.94Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

SE Louisiana won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.