Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.3%Cal State Fullerton

19.7%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL164.5

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -408

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 86

Projected Total164.5

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 78

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricCal State Bakersfield

49.4MMH Power Index32.2

108.8Offensive Efficiency100.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency112.6

1.7Net Efficiency-12.4

-1.2Strength of Schedule-1.7

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

76.3Tempo73.0

52.6%Effective FG%46.4%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.6%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate43.8%

1.3Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (108.8–100.2), defensive efficiency (107.1–112.6), net efficiency (1.7–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–25.5), free throw rate (43.8–39.6).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

71—73

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Bakersfield by 2 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

23-45FG26-56

51.0%FG%46.0%

6-173PT6-16

35.0%3PT%38.0%

19-24FT15-18

79.0%FT%83.0%

29Rebounds25

5Offensive Rebounds6

6Assists15

16Turnovers9

6Steals7

5Blocks2

19Fouls23

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Jones	Guard	31	5-14	1-4	10-11	3	1	1	0	21
Donovan Oday	G	26	4-6	1-2	4-6	2	1	1	0	13
Antwan Robinson	Guard	13	4-5	3-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	11
John Mikey Square	Not Available	30	4-6	0-0	1-1	5	0	1	2	9
Kendrick De Luna	F	20	2-2	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	2	4
Jalen Cooper	F	19	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Beril Kabamba	Forward	12	0-1	0-1	2-2	3	0	1	0	2
Vincent Lee	Forward	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Grayson Carper	Guard	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Zachary Visentin	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaleb Higgins	Guard	29	3-10	1-2	6-6	1	1	0	0	13
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	23	5-7	1-1	2-2	6	2	0	0	13
Tom Mark	F	35	6-8	0-0	0-1	3	1	3	2	12
Marvin McGhee III	G	22	3-6	2-4	4-4	5	1	0	0	12
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	22	4-7	0-0	1-2	5	1	1	0	9
Dalph Panopio	Guard	24	2-8	2-6	2-3	2	2	2	0	8
Cameron Wilbon	Guard	24	2-5	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Jaden Alexander	G	5	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Naseem Gaskin	Guard	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	4	1	0	0
Corey Stephenson	G	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

105.2Offensive Efficiency108.1

108.1Defensive Efficiency105.2

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

57.8%Effective FG%51.8%

62.9%True Shooting %56.5%

23.7%Turnover Rate13.3%

53.3%Free Throw Rate32.1%

37.8%3-Point Rate28.6%

0.38Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.