Incarnate Word

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%Incarnate Word

48.5%Houston Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIncarnate Word -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIncarnate Word -106

Houston Christian

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 72

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 72

Team Comparison

Incarnate WordMetricHouston Christian

44.6MMH Power Index39.5

112.0Offensive Efficiency102.5

111.2Defensive Efficiency110.3

0.8Net Efficiency-7.8

-3.6Strength of Schedule-0.6

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.2

66.3Tempo65.4

52.2%Effective FG%49.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate19.0%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

34.0%Free Throw Rate37.1%

0.5Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Incarnate Word HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIncarnate Word holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–39.5), offensive efficiency (112.0–102.5), net efficiency (0.8–-7.8), shooting efficiency (52.2–49.9).

Houston Christian COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.3–111.2), strength of schedule (-0.6–-3.6), recent form (-8.2–-8.5).

Final

Incarnate Word

83—86

Houston Christian

Houston Christian by 3 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Incarnate WordTEAM STATHouston Christian

29-59FG32-59

49.0%FG%54.0%

7-203PT6-15

35.0%3PT%40.0%

18-20FT16-30

90.0%FT%53.0%

39Rebounds29

12Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists10

17Turnovers11

4Steals7

4Blocks3

25Fouls18

Player Box Score

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josiah Hammons	G	37	6-13	4-9	6-6	5	2	0	0	22
Dylan Hayman	Forward	37	5-8	0-1	6-6	8	0	2	0	16
Josh Akpovwa	F	16	6-6	0-0	2-4	4	0	1	3	14
Josh Morgan	Guard	28	5-10	2-5	0-0	6	1	1	0	12
Skylar Wicks	G	13	3-9	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	1	7
Alex Anderson	G	15	2-5	0-1	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Elijah Davis	Guard	13	1-2	0-0	1-1	2	3	0	0	3
Marcus Glover	F	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
TJ Ford Jr.	Point Guard	14	0-3	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Davante Dennis	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Shon Robinson	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jay Alvarez	Forward	29	11-17	1-2	2-7	9	2	0	1	25
Michael Imariagbe	F	35	7-12	0-0	4-8	7	0	2	2	18
Marcus Greene	G	38	5-10	3-5	1-2	2	3	1	0	14
Bonke Maring	Center	31	4-8	0-0	3-6	4	2	1	0	11
Pierce Bazil	PG	12	1-3	0-2	4-5	0	0	0	0	6
Dominic Capriotti	G	32	1-6	1-5	2-2	2	1	3	0	5
Tristan Moore	Forward	14	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Porter Bazil	SF	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Nate Hudson	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

112.3Offensive Efficiency116.4

116.4Defensive Efficiency112.3

-4.1Net Efficiency4.1

55.1%Effective FG%59.3%

60.6%True Shooting %58.7%

23.1%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.9%Free Throw Rate50.8%

33.9%3-Point Rate25.4%

0.53Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

Houston Christian won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.