Tennessee State

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.9%Tennessee State

52.1%Southeast Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSoutheast Missouri State -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINESoutheast Missouri State -109

Southeast Missouri State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee State 75

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreSoutheast Missouri State 77

Team Comparison

Tennessee StateMetricSoutheast Missouri State

55.4MMH Power Index51.6

110.9Offensive Efficiency105.3

102.7Defensive Efficiency99.8

8.2Net Efficiency5.5

-3.1Strength of Schedule-2.4

13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

72.4Tempo70.8

50.9%Effective FG%50.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.6%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

34.7%Free Throw Rate39.3%

5.9Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–51.6), offensive efficiency (110.9–105.3), net efficiency (8.2–5.5), recent form (13.7–6.4).

Southeast Missouri State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.8–102.7), strength of schedule (-2.4–-3.1), ball security (16.6–17.0).

Final

Tennessee State

77—74

Southeast Missouri State

Tennessee State by 3 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tennessee StateTEAM STATSoutheast Missouri State

30-53FG27-64

57.0%FG%42.0%

7-143PT10-21

50.0%3PT%48.0%

10-17FT10-15

59.0%FT%67.0%

34Rebounds25

9Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists17

13Turnovers3

3Steals7

4Blocks1

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kinyon Hodges	Guard	33	8-12	0-2	2-4	7	3	2	0	18
Jason Jitoboh	Forward	31	5-8	0-0	3-4	7	2	1	3	13
Justin Williams	Guard	20	4-7	1-1	2-3	3	2	0	0	11
Christian Brown	Guard	23	3-7	3-6	0-0	4	1	0	0	9
EJ Bellinger	Guard	14	3-3	3-3	0-1	1	0	0	0	9
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	18	3-7	0-1	2-2	1	2	0	0	8
Emmanuel Dowuona	Forward	9	2-2	0-0	1-3	1	0	0	0	5
Michael Shanks	Forward	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Denim Dawson	Guard	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Jaylen Jones	G	20	0-3	0-1	0-0	8	3	0	0	0
Knute Wood	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southeast Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Earley	Forward	31	11-18	0-0	0-1	8	2	0	0	22
Rob Martin	G	31	6-16	3-3	2-2	3	7	4	0	17
Evan Eursher	Guard	29	4-8	4-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	12
Braxton Stacker	G	27	1-4	1-2	5-8	5	3	1	0	8
BJ Ward	G	28	2-10	0-3	2-2	1	4	1	0	6
Adam Larson	Forward	25	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	6
Marqueas Bell	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
David Idada	C	9	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
TJ Biel	F	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

118.3Offensive Efficiency113.7

113.7Defensive Efficiency118.3

4.6Net Efficiency-4.6

63.2%Effective FG%50.0%

63.0%True Shooting %52.0%

20.0%Turnover Rate4.6%

32.1%Free Throw Rate23.4%

26.4%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.15Assist / Turnover5.67

Game Summary

Tennessee State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.