Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.6%Ball State

80.4%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -9.8

PROJECTED TOTAL140.7

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -410

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 65

Projected Total140.7

Projected ScoreTexas State 75

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricTexas State

41.3MMH Power Index49.4

101.7Offensive Efficiency107.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency103.4

-3.0Net Efficiency4.3

-3.9Strength of Schedule-4.7

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

66.4Tempo68.6

48.3%Effective FG%51.3%

16.0%Turnover Rate18.4%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

33.0%Free Throw Rate36.0%

-2.0Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–41.3), offensive efficiency (107.7–101.7), defensive efficiency (103.4–104.7), net efficiency (4.3–-3.0).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.9–-4.7), ball security (16.0–18.4).

Final

Ball State

60—68

Texas State

Texas State by 8 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATTexas State

19-49FG27-58

39.0%FG%47.0%

7-163PT5-13

44.0%3PT%38.0%

15-20FT9-16

75.0%FT%56.0%

32Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists15

13Turnovers12

5Steals13

4Blocks5

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Basheer Jihad	Forward	38	5-12	0-2	9-13	9	2	3	1	19
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	31	5-9	2-2	1-1	5	1	0	2	13
Davion Bailey	G	35	5-12	2-6	0-0	5	2	0	0	12
Trent Middleton Jr.	G	30	3-6	2-4	3-4	6	2	1	1	11
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	37	1-9	1-2	2-2	2	4	1	0	5
Mason Jones	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ben Hendriks	Center	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jurica Zagorsak	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joey Brown	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Micah Bell	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Sykes	G	33	4-10	0-1	3-5	10	0	2	1	11
Jordan Mason	G	28	4-12	1-2	2-4	4	3	2	1	11
Coleton Benson	G	12	3-4	2-3	3-3	0	1	0	0	11
Christian Turner	Forward	25	4-6	0-0	1-1	5	1	3	1	9
Joshua O'Garro	G	8	4-4	0-0	0-1	2	1	1	1	8
Chris Nix	Forward	6	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	1	6
Brandon Love	Forward	16	2-5	0-0	0-2	1	0	1	0	4
Dylan Dawson	Guard	31	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	2	1	0	3
Dontae Horne	G	13	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	3
Kaden Gumbs	G	28	1-5	0-1	0-0	6	3	2	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

92.9Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency92.9

-12.4Net Efficiency12.4

45.9%Effective FG%50.9%

51.3%True Shooting %51.8%

20.8%Turnover Rate18.0%

40.8%Free Throw Rate27.6%

32.7%3-Point Rate22.4%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Texas State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.