Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Alabama State

70.8%Grambling

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrambling -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGrambling -242

Grambling

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 69

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreGrambling 77

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricGrambling

38MMH Power Index41.4

101.7Offensive Efficiency100.7

107.4Defensive Efficiency100.4

-5.7Net Efficiency0.3

-6.2Strength of Schedule-5.7

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.4

71.9Tempo69.9

48.2%Effective FG%49.2%

18.2%Turnover Rate20.9%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

35.8%Free Throw Rate42.2%

-4.1Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grambling HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrambling holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.4–38.0), defensive efficiency (100.4–107.4), net efficiency (0.3–-5.7), strength of schedule (-5.7–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (101.7–100.7), recent form (0.0–-0.4), ball security (18.2–20.9).

Final

Alabama State

68—74

Grambling

Grambling by 6 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATGrambling

25-65FG23-60

38.0%FG%38.0%

6-253PT6-17

24.0%3PT%35.0%

12-17FT22-32

71.0%FT%69.0%

40Rebounds36

16Offensive Rebounds13

6Assists10

17Turnovers8

5Steals10

5Blocks5

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Madlock	Guard	34	8-18	1-3	5-7	4	1	0	0	22
CJ Hines	G	34	6-13	3-6	2-2	5	3	0	0	17
Isaiah Range	Guard	31	4-14	2-11	1-1	5	0	0	1	11
Micah Octave	G	32	3-6	0-1	1-1	9	2	2	0	7
Amarr Knox	G	6	2-5	0-2	0-0	0	0	2	0	4
Darrell Reed	Forward	17	1-1	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	1	3
Ubong Okon	C	23	0-2	0-0	2-2	10	0	0	3	2
Sean Smith	G	5	1-3	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	2
Kendal Parker	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
JaSteven Walker	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Grambling

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kintavious Dozier	G	30	6-10	2-4	7-8	7	0	2	0	21
Tra'Michael Moton	Guard	34	4-11	2-3	3-4	6	2	4	1	13
Jourdan Smith	Guard	26	4-10	0-1	3-6	6	1	1	2	11
Antwan Burnett	G	31	1-4	0-3	5-6	4	1	0	0	7
Terrence Lewis	Guard	10	2-6	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Zahad Munford	Guard	16	0-4	0-1	2-4	3	2	2	0	2
Mikale Stevenson	G	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	2
Jonathan Aku	Forward	14	0-1	0-0	0-2	1	1	0	1	0
Jimel Cofer Jr.	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

94.2Offensive Efficiency102.5

102.5Defensive Efficiency94.2

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

43.1%Effective FG%43.3%

46.5%True Shooting %49.2%

22.9%Turnover Rate11.4%

26.2%Free Throw Rate53.3%

38.5%3-Point Rate28.3%

0.35Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Grambling won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.