Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%Tarleton State

78.0%Seattle U

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSeattle U -8.9

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINESeattle U -355

Seattle U

21-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 68

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreSeattle U 76

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricSeattle U

44.6MMH Power Index51.4

103.2Offensive Efficiency103.9

101.6Defensive Efficiency96.9

1.6Net Efficiency7.0

-2.3Strength of Schedule-1.7

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency4.1

72.2Tempo69.4

49.0%Effective FG%50.8%

19.9%Turnover Rate16.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

42.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

1.1Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Seattle U HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSeattle U holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–44.6), offensive efficiency (103.9–103.2), defensive efficiency (96.9–101.6), net efficiency (7.0–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.8–25.1), free throw rate (42.8–35.2).

Final

Tarleton State

82—77

Seattle U

Tarleton State by 5 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATSeattle U

27-59FG27-57

46.0%FG%47.0%

11-183PT6-15

61.0%3PT%40.0%

17-21FT17-23

81.0%FT%74.0%

29Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds11

15Assists15

8Turnovers12

8Steals4

4Blocks3

20Fouls20

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jakorie Smith	Forward	33	8-19	5-9	5-6	2	2	2	1	26
Devon Barnes	G	33	3-9	2-4	7-8	2	2	1	0	15
KiAndre Gaddy	Forward	28	5-9	0-0	3-3	4	3	1	1	13
Emmanuel Innocenti	G	35	4-5	3-3	1-2	7	4	3	0	12
Lue Williams	Guard	32	4-10	1-1	1-2	7	2	0	0	10
Traivar Jackson	F	19	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Adam Moussa	Guard	17	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	1	2
Izzy Miles	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Seattle U

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Schumacher	Guard	36	6-11	2-3	9-11	8	6	2	1	23
Brandton Chatfield	Forward	29	7-11	0-1	2-3	6	1	0	2	16
John Christofilis	G	34	5-10	3-6	1-2	3	0	0	0	14
Cameron Tyson	Not Available	27	3-8	1-3	1-1	4	1	1	0	8
Kobe Williamson	Forward	25	3-11	0-0	1-2	5	3	1	0	7
Seyi Reiley	Forward	23	2-2	0-0	3-4	7	0	0	0	7
Paris Dawson	Guard	20	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	4	0	0	2
Viktor Rajkovic	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Vasja Pandza	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

118.0Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency118.0

7.2Net Efficiency-7.2

55.1%Effective FG%52.6%

59.4%True Shooting %56.7%

11.4%Turnover Rate17.4%

35.6%Free Throw Rate40.4%

30.5%3-Point Rate26.3%

1.88Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.