Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.8%Illinois State

63.2%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL143.2

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -172

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 70

Projected Total143.2

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 73

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricSouthern Illinois

54.3MMH Power Index54.6

110.6Offensive Efficiency103.4

101.4Defensive Efficiency98.5

9.2Net Efficiency4.9

1.0Strength of Schedule1.6

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

67.5Tempo70.6

54.3%Effective FG%49.5%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

32.0%Free Throw Rate32.3%

6.2Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–54.3), defensive efficiency (98.5–101.4), strength of schedule (1.6–1.0), recent form (7.7–-4.4).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–103.4), net efficiency (9.2–4.9), shooting efficiency (54.3–49.5).

Final

Illinois State

66—69

Southern Illinois

Southern Illinois by 3 • 58.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

25-45FG25-50

56.0%FG%50.0%

5-123PT7-25

42.0%3PT%28.0%

11-16FT12-16

69.0%FT%75.0%

27Rebounds24

4Offensive Rebounds5

10Assists15

10Turnovers6

4Steals2

3Blocks4

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Foster	Forward	30	7-13	0-0	3-5	7	1	0	3	17
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	34	5-8	3-4	3-3	2	2	0	0	16
Kendall Lewis	Forward	33	5-6	1-2	2-4	6	1	1	0	13
Johnny Kinziger	G	35	4-9	0-2	3-3	3	1	1	0	11
Dalton Banks	Guard	37	3-5	1-1	0-1	6	4	1	0	7
Chase Walker	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Luke Kasubke	Guard	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Ty Pence	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	39	5-12	1-4	6-7	4	9	0	1	17
Scottie Ebube	C	17	5-6	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	10
Troy D'Amico	Forward	25	3-8	3-8	0-0	2	0	0	1	9
Trent Brown	Guard	36	2-6	2-6	2-3	0	1	0	0	8
Clarence Rupert	Forward	21	4-6	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	8
AJ Ferguson	Guard	30	3-6	1-4	0-1	5	1	1	1	7
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	17	2-4	0-2	2-3	0	1	1	0	6
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	15	1-2	0-1	2-2	5	0	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

58.6Possessions58.6

112.6Offensive Efficiency117.7

117.7Defensive Efficiency112.6

-5.1Net Efficiency5.1

61.1%Effective FG%57.0%

62.7%True Shooting %59.9%

17.1%Turnover Rate10.2%

35.6%Free Throw Rate32.0%

26.7%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 58.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.