Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.3%Cal Poly

47.7%Long Beach State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLong Beach State -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL164.3

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -110

Long Beach State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 82

Projected Total164.3

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 83

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricLong Beach State

46.5MMH Power Index41.1

107.2Offensive Efficiency103.8

111.0Defensive Efficiency107.8

-3.8Net Efficiency-4.0

1.7Strength of Schedule-1.4

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

76.6Tempo72.2

52.2%Effective FG%51.5%

19.8%Turnover Rate17.7%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

35.8%Free Throw Rate31.1%

-2.9Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–41.1), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.8), net efficiency (-3.8–-4.0), strength of schedule (1.7–-1.4).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.8–111.0), ball security (17.7–19.8).

Final

Cal Poly

68—77

Long Beach State

Long Beach State by 9 • 76.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATLong Beach State

25-61FG25-57

41.0%FG%44.0%

11-273PT7-19

41.0%3PT%37.0%

7-8FT20-28

88.0%FT%71.0%

31Rebounds35

5Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists17

18Turnovers12

10Steals9

4Blocks1

21Fouls11

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarred Hyder	Guard	36	7-9	4-6	3-3	4	4	2	0	21
Quentin Jones	G	35	7-13	4-7	1-2	7	1	4	2	19
Kobe Sanders	Guard	32	4-11	2-5	3-3	4	6	0	0	13
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	31	6-10	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	2	12
Aidan Prukop	Guard	12	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Justin Page	G	19	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Paul Bizimana	Forward	14	0-5	0-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Joel Armotrading	C	9	0-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jadon Jones	G	34	9-14	5-8	3-5	1	0	3	0	26
Marcus Tsohonis	Guard	35	5-14	2-5	6-6	4	6	2	0	18
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	33	4-8	0-2	4-6	12	4	2	1	12
AJ George	G	23	2-7	0-0	5-6	6	0	0	0	9
Lassina Traore	F	26	2-3	0-0	2-4	8	2	0	0	6
Amari Stroud	Forward	13	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Isa Silva	G	13	1-4	0-1	0-1	3	4	1	0	2
Messiah Thompson	Guard	16	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Chayce Polynice	Center	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jason Hart Jr.	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.1Possessions76.1

89.4Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency89.4

-11.8Net Efficiency11.8

50.0%Effective FG%50.0%

52.5%True Shooting %54.8%

23.1%Turnover Rate16.2%

13.1%Free Throw Rate49.1%

44.3%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.72Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

Long Beach State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 76.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.