Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.0%Arizona State

43.0%Utah

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona State -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona State -133

Utah

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 79

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreUtah 78

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricUtah

51MMH Power Index43.9

108.1Offensive Efficiency108.8

110.9Defensive Efficiency115.8

-2.8Net Efficiency-7.0

7.0Strength of Schedule5.1

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.3

70.6Tempo68.3

51.3%Effective FG%52.3%

17.1%Turnover Rate16.7%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

40.2%Free Throw Rate32.2%

-1.9Average Margin-4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–43.9), defensive efficiency (110.9–115.8), net efficiency (-2.8–-7.0), strength of schedule (7.0–5.1).

Utah COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–108.1), shooting efficiency (52.3–51.3), ball security (16.7–17.1).

Final

Arizona State

85—77

Utah

Arizona State by 8 • 75.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATUtah

32-70FG31-67

46.0%FG%46.0%

10-233PT9-30

43.0%3PT%30.0%

11-15FT6-13

73.0%FT%46.0%

42Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists23

10Turnovers13

10Steals7

3Blocks4

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jose Perez	Guard	33	7-13	2-2	5-5	4	0	2	0	21
Jamiya Neal	Guard	38	5-13	3-7	4-6	8	1	2	0	17
Adam Miller	G	31	7-11	2-4	0-0	3	2	2	0	16
Frankie Collins	G	36	6-14	1-4	0-0	4	6	3	1	13
Alonzo Gaffney	Forward	20	2-7	2-4	1-2	2	2	0	0	7
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	12	3-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	6
Bryant Selebangue	F	16	1-3	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	0	3
Kamari Lands	G	14	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	2

Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Branden Carlson	Center	33	10-20	2-7	3-6	12	3	1	2	25
Cole Bajema	Guard	34	4-8	2-6	2-3	2	1	1	0	12
Gabe Madsen	Guard	33	4-15	2-11	1-2	3	5	2	0	11
Keba Keita	F	20	5-9	0-0	0-1	7	1	0	1	10
Ben Carlson	Forward	14	3-4	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Lawson Lovering	Center	12	3-4	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	0	6
Hunter Erickson	G	17	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	3	2	0	5
Deivon Smith	Guard	30	0-3	0-1	0-0	6	9	1	1	0
Jake Wahlin	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.2Possessions75.2

113.0Offensive Efficiency102.4

102.4Defensive Efficiency113.0

10.6Net Efficiency-10.6

52.9%Effective FG%53.0%

55.1%True Shooting %52.6%

13.3%Turnover Rate17.3%

21.4%Free Throw Rate19.4%

32.9%3-Point Rate44.8%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.77

Game Summary

Arizona State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 75.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.