Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Virginia

34.8%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.7

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -187

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 80

Projected Total156.7

Projected ScoreFlorida State 76

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricFlorida State

68.9MMH Power Index58.7

119.0Offensive Efficiency111.9

101.8Defensive Efficiency108.5

17.2Net Efficiency3.4

5.2Strength of Schedule5.7

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

67.6Tempo71.8

55.0%Effective FG%52.4%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.2%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

33.2%Free Throw Rate35.2%

11.6Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–58.7), offensive efficiency (119.0–111.9), defensive efficiency (101.8–108.5), net efficiency (17.2–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.7–5.2), recent form (7.6–6.4), ball security (15.2–16.0).

Final

Virginia

80—76

Florida State

Virginia by 4 • 62.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATFlorida State

26-52FG24-47

50.0%FG%51.0%

10-183PT2-16

56.0%3PT%13.0%

18-24FT26-33

75.0%FT%79.0%

27Rebounds29

9Offensive Rebounds9

18Assists8

8Turnovers9

5Steals3

1Blocks8

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac McKneely	G	34	8-12	5-7	8-9	5	2	0	0	29
Reece Beekman	Guard	36	7-16	0-3	7-11	4	5	2	0	21
Jacob Groves	Forward	22	4-8	2-2	0-0	3	0	2	0	10
Andrew Rohde	G	32	2-5	2-3	2-2	1	4	1	0	8
Blake Buchanan	F	24	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Taine Murray	Guard	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Jordan Minor	Forward	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Dante Harris	G	11	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	4	0	0	2
Ryan Dunn	Forward	20	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	3	0	0	1

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	29	5-9	0-2	11-12	4	2	2	2	21
Chandler Jackson	G	21	7-9	1-3	2-2	5	1	0	0	17
Baba Miller	F	26	3-3	1-1	1-2	3	2	0	3	8
Cameron Corhen	F	20	2-2	0-0	4-4	1	0	0	0	8
Jalen Warley	G	26	2-7	0-1	2-4	7	2	0	0	6
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	24	2-9	0-6	1-1	2	0	0	0	5
Jaylan Gainey	Forward	7	1-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	1	4
Tom House	G	3	0-0	0-0	3-5	1	0	0	0	3
Josh Nickelberry	Guard	10	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
De'Ante Green	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	1	2
Primo Spears	Guard	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.6Possessions62.6

127.8Offensive Efficiency121.4

121.4Defensive Efficiency127.8

6.4Net Efficiency-6.4

59.6%Effective FG%53.2%

63.1%True Shooting %60.6%

12.8%Turnover Rate14.4%

46.2%Free Throw Rate70.2%

34.6%3-Point Rate34.0%

2.25Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

Virginia won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 62.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.