Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.2%Portland State

50.8%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -103

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 76

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScoreIdaho State 75

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricIdaho State

50.2MMH Power Index45.9

109.3Offensive Efficiency111.0

100.2Defensive Efficiency113.4

9.1Net Efficiency-2.4

-5.6Strength of Schedule0.2

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

70.1Tempo67.1

51.7%Effective FG%52.2%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.5%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

36.8%Free Throw Rate39.1%

6.4Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.0–109.3), strength of schedule (0.2–-5.6), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.7), ball security (16.5–16.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (50.2–45.9), defensive efficiency (100.2–113.4), net efficiency (9.1–-2.4).

Final

Portland State

65—68

Idaho State

Idaho State by 3 • 62.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATIdaho State

23-46FG22-46

50.0%FG%48.0%

7-143PT4-18

50.0%3PT%22.0%

12-14FT20-30

86.0%FT%67.0%

19Rebounds27

5Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists8

17Turnovers10

5Steals10

2Blocks4

24Fouls14

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bobby Harvey	Guard	33	6-9	5-7	0-0	2	0	0	0	17
KJ Allen	Forward	24	5-7	0-1	3-3	10	1	1	0	13
Isiah Kirby	Guard	33	3-7	0-0	5-6	2	4	1	0	11
Kendall Munson	Forward	30	3-7	0-0	2-3	1	0	0	0	8
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	22	2-6	0-0	2-2	2	2	1	2	6
Jorell Saterfield	Guard	17	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Keshaun Saunders	Guard	31	2-8	0-4	0-0	0	2	1	0	4
Hunter Woods	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Hayden Curtiss	Center	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miguel Tomley	Guard	37	6-15	3-10	3-4	2	0	1	0	18
Maleek Arington	G	37	3-8	1-4	6-11	1	3	2	0	13
Kiree Huie	F	22	4-7	0-0	5-6	5	0	0	1	13
Brayden Parker	Center	34	6-11	0-4	0-1	11	2	2	2	12
AJ Burgin	Guard	25	1-2	0-0	3-4	3	1	2	0	5
Isaiah Griffin	F	21	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Trent Johnson	F	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Briggs Ranstrom	Forward	20	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	1	3	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

62.5Possessions62.5

104.0Offensive Efficiency108.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency104.0

-4.8Net Efficiency4.8

57.6%Effective FG%52.2%

61.7%True Shooting %56.4%

26.3%Turnover Rate16.6%

30.4%Free Throw Rate65.2%

30.4%3-Point Rate39.1%

0.53Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.