Saint Mary's

27-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

93.2%Saint Mary's

6.8%Portland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -16.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -1371

Portland

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 83

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScorePortland 66

Team Comparison

Saint Mary'sMetricPortland

70.7MMH Power Index42.7

116.7Offensive Efficiency104.8

97.4Defensive Efficiency110.6

19.3Net Efficiency-5.8

3.0Strength of Schedule1.8

18.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.1

66.3Tempo71.0

53.1%Effective FG%52.0%

16.6%Turnover Rate19.3%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

36.8%Free Throw Rate36.9%

12.8Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–42.7), offensive efficiency (116.7–104.8), defensive efficiency (97.4–110.6), net efficiency (19.3–-5.8).

Portland COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.9–36.8).

Final

Saint Mary's

76—51

Portland

Saint Mary's by 25 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Mary'sTEAM STATPortland

26-64FG18-57

41.0%FG%32.0%

14-353PT3-20

40.0%3PT%15.0%

10-13FT12-15

77.0%FT%80.0%

46Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds8

19Assists6

7Turnovers8

6Steals4

2Blocks2

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Mahaney	G	38	7-18	5-12	0-0	7	3	1	0	19
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	36	4-10	3-6	3-4	3	8	0	0	14
Alex Ducas	Guard	36	4-12	4-11	0-0	9	2	1	0	12
Luke Barrett	Forward	25	3-8	2-5	2-2	4	0	1	1	10
Joshua Jefferson	F	17	4-7	0-1	2-3	5	3	1	0	10
Mason Forbes	Forward	19	3-4	0-0	3-4	3	0	1	1	9
Chris Howell	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Mitchell Saxen	Center	16	0-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Harry Wessels	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Cade Bennett	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jordan Ross	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Portland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bol Dengdit	C	33	4-6	2-3	4-4	7	0	2	0	14
Tyler Robertson	Guard	32	5-16	0-3	4-4	4	1	0	0	14
Vukasin Masic	G	29	3-13	0-3	2-2	2	2	0	0	8
Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams	F	21	2-7	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Juanse Gorosito	G	34	2-6	0-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Vasilije Vucinic	Center	5	1-4	0-0	2-3	5	1	0	0	4
Noah Jordan	Forward	7	1-2	0-1	0-2	1	0	1	0	2
Chris Austin	Guard	26	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	2	0
Coleman Lemke	Forward	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

118.4Offensive Efficiency79.4

79.4Defensive Efficiency118.4

38.9Net Efficiency-38.9

51.6%Effective FG%34.2%

54.2%True Shooting %39.8%

10.9%Turnover Rate12.5%

20.3%Free Throw Rate26.3%

54.7%3-Point Rate35.1%

2.71Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.