Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Sacramento State

78.8%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL163.4

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -372

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 76

Projected Total163.4

Projected ScoreWeber State 87

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricWeber State

43MMH Power Index50.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency113.6

112.0Defensive Efficiency108.2

-5.9Net Efficiency5.4

0.9Strength of Schedule-3.4

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

73.2Tempo71.5

48.5%Effective FG%52.6%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.5%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

41.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

-4.3Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Weber State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWeber State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (113.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (108.2–112.0), net efficiency (5.4–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-3.4), ball security (14.2–15.5), free throw rate (41.8–38.3).

Final

Sacramento State

53—58

Weber State

Weber State by 5 • 56.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATWeber State

19-42FG21-44

45.0%FG%48.0%

6-173PT4-16

35.0%3PT%25.0%

9-10FT12-16

90.0%FT%75.0%

30Rebounds17

10Offensive Rebounds6

7Assists6

21Turnovers10

7Steals12

1Blocks2

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duncan Powell	F	30	7-9	0-1	3-3	5	2	0	0	17
Austin Patterson	Guard	28	4-7	4-6	0-0	5	0	3	0	12
Jacob Holt	Forward	15	3-3	0-0	5-5	7	1	0	0	11
Zee Hamoda	G	25	2-11	1-5	0-0	0	1	3	0	5
Alex Kovatchev	G	27	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Bowyn Beatty	F	20	1-4	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	2
Akol Mawein	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Emil Skytt	G	28	0-2	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Michael Wilson	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dillon Jones	Forward	39	7-9	0-0	7-7	2	5	3	0	21
Steven Verplancken	Guard	38	5-11	1-6	1-1	2	0	0	0	12
Alex Tew	Center	34	3-6	0-0	2-2	8	1	5	1	8
Viljami Vartiainen	G	19	3-5	2-4	0-1	0	0	0	0	8
Blaise Threatt	Guard	14	2-3	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1	5
KJ Cunningham	Guard	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Dyson Koehler	Forward	38	0-6	0-4	1-3	2	0	4	0	1
Handje Tamba	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Arnaud Revaz	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

56.7Possessions56.7

93.5Offensive Efficiency102.3

102.3Defensive Efficiency93.5

-8.8Net Efficiency8.8

52.4%Effective FG%52.3%

56.7%True Shooting %56.2%

36.4%Turnover Rate18.0%

23.8%Free Throw Rate36.4%

40.5%3-Point Rate36.4%

0.33Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Weber State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 56.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.