Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.0%Cal State Northridge

66.0%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -194

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 77

Projected Total159.3

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 82

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricUC Santa Barbara

50MMH Power Index51.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency113.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency106.1

2.1Net Efficiency7.1

-0.6Strength of Schedule-2.0

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

75.9Tempo68.5

51.0%Effective FG%54.8%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.7%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

34.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

1.6Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–50.0), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.3), net efficiency (7.1–2.1), shooting efficiency (54.8–51.0).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.2–106.1), strength of schedule (-0.6–-2.0), recent form (1.8–-1.7).

Final

Cal State Northridge

82—74

UC Santa Barbara

Cal State Northridge by 8 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

31-57FG24-55

54.0%FG%44.0%

6-153PT8-27

40.0%3PT%30.0%

14-18FT18-21

78.0%FT%86.0%

35Rebounds26

11Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists15

13Turnovers13

5Steals9

—Blocks2

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
De'Sean Allen-Eikens	Forward	31	7-11	1-3	5-6	3	2	0	20
Dionte Bostick	Guard	36	8-15	2-4	0-1	2	2	1	18
Gianni Hunt	G	35	4-12	2-6	5-6	6	2	1	15
Keonte Jones	G	36	4-8	1-1	4-5	6	1	2	13
Mahmoud Fofana	F	34	6-8	0-0	0-0	7	1	1	12
Dearon Tucker	Center	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	4
Jared Barnett	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Bryan Ndjonga	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0
Jasman Sangha	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ajay Mitchell	Guard	34	8-18	1-5	12-13	4	7	2	1	29
Yohan Traore	F	24	2-3	0-0	5-6	4	0	1	1	9
Kilian Brockhoff	F	14	3-6	3-6	0-0	6	0	0	0	9
Jason Fontenet II	G	28	3-6	1-3	1-2	2	3	2	0	8
Ariel Bland	F	13	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	6
Josh Pierre-Louis	Guard	35	2-7	1-3	0-0	2	3	2	0	5
Matija Belic	F	10	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Cole Anderson	Guard	34	1-8	1-8	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Ben Shtolzberg	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Evans Kipruto	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

119.2Offensive Efficiency107.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency119.2

11.6Net Efficiency-11.6

59.6%Effective FG%50.9%

62.5%True Shooting %56.9%

19.2%Turnover Rate18.6%

31.6%Free Throw Rate38.2%

26.3%3-Point Rate49.1%

0.62Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.