UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.5%UC Davis

76.5%Hawai'i

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHawai'i -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEHawai'i -326

Hawai'i

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 72

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreHawai'i 82

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricHawai'i

48.4MMH Power Index54.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency109.4

103.7Defensive Efficiency97.0

3.5Net Efficiency12.4

-1.9Strength of Schedule-2.8

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

72.4Tempo72.8

52.3%Effective FG%52.4%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.4%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

41.5%Free Throw Rate43.4%

2.5Average Margin9.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Hawai'i HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHawai'i holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (109.4–107.2), defensive efficiency (97.0–103.7), net efficiency (12.4–3.5).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.9–-2.8), recent form (-0.1–-1.8), ball security (17.7–18.4).

Final

UC Davis

70—87

Hawai'i

Hawai'i by 17 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATHawai'i

21-61FG26-49

34.0%FG%53.0%

5-233PT12-20

22.0%3PT%60.0%

23-27FT23-27

85.0%FT%85.0%

27Rebounds39

8Offensive Rebounds7

7Assists14

5Turnovers14

6Steals3

4Blocks1

22Fouls22

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Pepper	Guard	36	8-25	3-13	8-9	4	1	0	0	27
TY Johnson	Guard	30	5-14	0-2	5-7	6	2	2	0	15
Kane Milling	Guard	34	4-12	1-4	3-3	1	1	2	1	12
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	18	1-3	0-2	6-6	3	1	0	0	8
Niko Rocak	F	19	1-1	0-0	1-2	7	1	1	1	3
Pablo Tamba	F	15	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Francesco Borra	Forward	19	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
Ade Adebayo	Forward	23	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Sione Lose	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Hawai'i

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bernardo da Silva	Forward	34	6-12	0-0	7-10	12	4	0	1	19
Noel Coleman	Guard	30	7-12	2-3	2-2	4	1	1	0	18
Justin McKoy	Forward	33	4-6	3-3	6-6	11	1	1	0	17
Tom Beattie	G	32	3-6	2-3	3-3	2	3	0	0	11
Kody Williams	G	22	1-2	1-2	5-6	1	3	0	0	8
Akira Jacobs	F	8	3-3	2-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
Juan Munoz	Guard	25	2-8	2-7	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Ryan Rapp	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Harry Rouhliadeff	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency124.6

124.6Defensive Efficiency100.3

-24.4Net Efficiency24.4

38.5%Effective FG%65.3%

47.4%True Shooting %70.4%

7.1%Turnover Rate20.3%

44.3%Free Throw Rate55.1%

37.7%3-Point Rate40.8%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Hawai'i won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.