New Orleans

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.4%New Orleans

46.6%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL145.0

MODEL MONEYLINENew Orleans -115

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Orleans 72

Projected Total145.0

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 73

Team Comparison

New OrleansMetricNorthwestern State

47.1MMH Power Index41.3

107.0Offensive Efficiency104.0

109.6Defensive Efficiency109.0

-2.6Net Efficiency-5.0

0.2Strength of Schedule-1.6

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

70.8Tempo63.6

50.5%Effective FG%49.5%

20.2%Turnover Rate17.6%

35.7%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

48.4%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-1.8Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Orleans HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Orleans holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–41.3), offensive efficiency (107.0–104.0), net efficiency (-2.6–-5.0), strength of schedule (0.2–-1.6).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.0–109.6), ball security (17.6–20.2).

Final

New Orleans

59—70

Northwestern State

Northwestern State by 11 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New OrleansTEAM STATNorthwestern State

20-56FG26-59

36.0%FG%44.0%

2-143PT4-13

14.0%3PT%31.0%

17-26FT14-19

65.0%FT%74.0%

40Rebounds36

16Offensive Rebounds13

7Assists14

17Turnovers16

5Steals5

6Blocks5

20Fouls22

Player Box Score

New Orleans

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Jackson	Forward	28	7-11	0-0	4-6	11	0	0	0	18
Carlos Hart	G	28	2-9	0-2	8-12	5	1	1	2	12
Jamond Vincent	Guard	17	5-8	0-2	1-2	6	1	1	1	11
Khaleb Wilson-Rouse	Guard	38	2-10	1-4	3-4	4	2	0	1	8
Mason Jones	Guard	24	2-5	0-1	1-2	1	1	1	0	5
Kaleb Jenkins	Guard	10	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
D'Ante Bell	Forward	1	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jah Short	Guard	29	0-8	0-2	0-0	7	0	0	0	0
James Glisson III	Forward	25	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	2	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Forte	G	34	6-14	0-1	2-4	5	7	1	0	14
Braelon Bush	G	32	4-12	2-4	2-2	1	3	0	0	12
Jimel Lane	F	30	5-8	0-1	2-2	6	0	1	2	12
Justin Wilson	Forward	17	4-5	0-0	4-4	5	0	1	2	12
Jae Slack	F	21	2-5	1-2	2-3	4	0	0	0	7
J.C. Riley Jr.	F	17	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	1	6
Cliff Davis	G	22	1-5	1-4	1-2	3	3	0	0	4
Chris Mubiru	G	20	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Duane Posey	G	7	0-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

84.0Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.7Defensive Efficiency84.0

-15.7Net Efficiency15.7

37.5%Effective FG%47.5%

43.2%True Shooting %51.5%

24.5%Turnover Rate22.5%

46.4%Free Throw Rate32.2%

25.0%3-Point Rate22.0%

0.41Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.