Jackson State

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.8%Jackson State

80.2%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL159.6

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas-Pine Bluff -405

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJackson State 74

Projected Total159.6

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 85

Team Comparison

Jackson StateMetricArkansas-Pine Bluff

30.7MMH Power Index38.7

98.1Offensive Efficiency106.4

117.0Defensive Efficiency111.6

-18.9Net Efficiency-5.2

-0.7Strength of Schedule-6.0

-6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

71.6Tempo72.6

45.8%Effective FG%51.4%

19.4%Turnover Rate18.5%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

37.9%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-13.5Average Margin-3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–30.7), offensive efficiency (106.4–98.1), defensive efficiency (111.6–117.0), net efficiency (-5.2–-18.9).

Jackson State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.7–-6.0), offensive rebounding (29.6–29.3), free throw rate (37.9–37.7).

Final

Jackson State

76—63

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Jackson State by 13 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jackson StateTEAM STATArkansas-Pine Bluff

29-67FG26-60

43.0%FG%43.0%

7-213PT6-29

33.0%3PT%21.0%

11-18FT5-8

61.0%FT%63.0%

36Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists14

6Turnovers15

8Steals2

3Blocks3

11Fouls15

Player Box Score

Jackson State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan O'Neal	Forward	30	8-14	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	2	17
Keionte Cornelius	G	22	6-11	4-8	1-2	2	0	1	0	17
Keiveon Hunt	G	31	5-12	1-4	3-5	4	3	2	1	14
Ken Evans Jr.	Guard	37	5-15	1-6	2-5	7	8	1	0	13
Zeke Cook	F	23	3-5	1-2	1-1	4	1	3	0	8
Treyon Johnson	Center	25	1-4	0-0	3-3	8	3	0	0	5
Tamorrian Grigsby	Center	6	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Coltie Young	Guard	18	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Keijuan Johnson	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Lewis	F	29	8-11	0-0	0-1	10	1	0	2	16
Lonnell Martin Jr.	Forward	32	3-9	2-8	1-2	3	3	0	0	9
Zachary Reinhart	G	21	3-7	3-7	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Kylen Milton	Guard	30	3-10	0-3	2-2	6	2	0	0	8
Trejon Ware	G	20	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	3	1	0	6
Ismael Plet	Forward	28	2-4	0-0	1-1	9	1	0	1	5
Joe French	Guard	28	2-9	1-7	0-1	2	3	1	0	5
Caleb Stokes	Forward	12	2-7	0-4	1-1	2	0	0	0	5

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

110.6Offensive Efficiency91.7

91.7Defensive Efficiency110.6

18.9Net Efficiency-18.9

48.5%Effective FG%48.3%

50.3%True Shooting %49.4%

8.8%Turnover Rate21.8%

26.9%Free Throw Rate13.3%

31.3%3-Point Rate48.3%

2.50Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Jackson State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.