St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.3%St. John's

21.7%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL164.1

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -361

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 86

Projected Total164.1

Projected ScoreProvidence 78

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricProvidence

70.3MMH Power Index54.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency115.0

97.6Defensive Efficiency113.2

16.8Net Efficiency1.8

5.5Strength of Schedule4.0

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

70.9Tempo74.2

51.3%Effective FG%55.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.7%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

41.1%Free Throw Rate37.3%

11.9Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–54.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–113.2), net efficiency (16.8–1.8), strength of schedule (5.5–4.0).

Providence COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–114.4), shooting efficiency (55.0–51.3).

Final

St. John's

72—75

Providence

Providence by 3 • 74.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATProvidence

28-69FG24-51

41.0%FG%47.0%

6-233PT8-20

26.0%3PT%40.0%

10-15FT19-24

67.0%FT%79.0%

43Rebounds31

17Offensive Rebounds3

10Assists15

16Turnovers15

9Steals7

4Blocks2

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	28	7-14	0-3	2-2	14	2	1	0	16
Daniss Jenkins	Guard	32	5-13	1-6	2-2	3	3	2	1	13
Sean Conway	Guard	27	3-6	3-4	2-2	6	0	2	0	11
Joel Soriano	Center	22	3-8	0-0	3-6	7	1	0	1	9
Jordan Dingle	Guard	27	3-11	2-6	0-1	3	1	2	0	8
Zuby Ejiofor	F	18	3-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	7
Chris Ledlum	Guard	24	3-6	0-2	0-0	2	2	2	1	6
Simeon Wilcher	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Nahiem Alleyne	Guard	12	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Glenn Taylor Jr.	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Drissa Traore	F	2	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Oduro	Forward	30	9-16	1-2	9-10	4	4	2	1	28
Devin Carter	Guard	37	3-7	1-2	7-9	11	4	2	0	14
Ticket Gaines	Guard	28	3-7	2-6	3-3	1	0	1	1	11
Rich Barron	F	22	4-8	2-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	10
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	31	3-6	1-2	0-1	3	0	1	0	7
Jayden Pierre	G	35	2-6	1-3	0-1	6	5	1	0	5
Garwey Dual	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Rafael Castro	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.8Possessions74.8

96.3Offensive Efficiency100.3

100.3Defensive Efficiency96.3

-4.0Net Efficiency4.0

44.9%Effective FG%54.9%

47.3%True Shooting %60.1%

21.3%Turnover Rate20.2%

21.7%Free Throw Rate47.1%

33.3%3-Point Rate39.2%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Providence won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 74.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.