Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Colorado State

73.7%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -280

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 70

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 79

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricSan Diego State

55.4MMH Power Index60.1

117.1Offensive Efficiency110.3

109.9Defensive Efficiency99.3

7.2Net Efficiency11.0

0.4Strength of Schedule3.8

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

64.7Tempo70.8

58.6%Effective FG%53.2%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

41.2%Free Throw Rate39.6%

4.6Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–55.4), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.9), net efficiency (11.0–7.2), strength of schedule (3.8–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–110.3), recent form (4.3–0.4), shooting efficiency (58.6–53.2).

Final

Colorado State

55—71

San Diego State

San Diego State by 16 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATSan Diego State

19-53FG24-54

36.0%FG%44.0%

8-253PT5-17

32.0%3PT%29.0%

9-13FT18-25

69.0%FT%72.0%

24Rebounds46

4Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists14

13Turnovers16

9Steals8

3Blocks5

23Fouls17

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josiah Strong	Guard	29	5-12	3-7	1-2	3	2	0	0	14
Patrick Cartier	Forward	22	4-5	0-0	4-5	1	2	1	0	12
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	35	4-13	3-6	0-0	4	5	1	1	11
Nique Clifford	Guard	34	4-11	1-5	1-2	4	0	1	2	10
Joel Scott	Forward	17	1-3	0-0	2-2	6	1	1	0	4
Jalen Lake	Guard	21	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	0	2	0	3
Rashaan Mbemba	F	11	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Joe Palmer	Guard	23	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	2	0	0
Kyan Evans	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Jack Payne	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tavi Jackson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Javonte Johnson	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	26	10-14	0-0	7-11	6	0	1	1	27
Lamont Butler	Guard	34	3-7	0-1	5-6	10	1	3	0	11
Darrion Trammell	Guard	33	4-11	3-6	0-0	3	5	1	0	11
Micah Parrish	Guard	25	2-8	0-2	1-2	5	3	1	1	5
Elijah Saunders	F	12	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Miles Byrd	G	10	1-2	1-2	2-2	1	0	1	0	5
Reese Waters	Guard	22	1-6	0-3	2-2	6	2	1	0	4
Jay Pal	Forward	21	1-1	0-0	1-2	7	2	0	3	3
Miles Heide	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Alger	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Desai Lopez	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
BJ Davis	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cam Lawin	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

80.8Offensive Efficiency104.3

104.3Defensive Efficiency80.8

-23.5Net Efficiency23.5

43.4%Effective FG%49.1%

46.5%True Shooting %53.9%

19.1%Turnover Rate23.6%

24.5%Free Throw Rate46.3%

47.2%3-Point Rate31.5%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.