Air Force logo

Air Force

3-29
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
6.7%Air Force
93.3%San José State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADSan José State -17.6
PROJECTED TOTAL147.0
MODEL MONEYLINESan José State -1393
San José State logo

San José State

9-24
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreAir Force 65
Projected Total147.0
Projected ScoreSan José State 82

Team Comparison

23MMH Power Index42
91.3Offensive Efficiency108.7
118.5Defensive Efficiency118.5
-27.2Net Efficiency-9.8
6.2Strength of Schedule1.8
-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.6
67.4Tempo66.2
49.0%Effective FG%50.8%
21.9%Turnover Rate15.2%
21.4%Offensive Rebound %30.7%
35.9%Free Throw Rate34.2%
-18.3Average Margin-6.5
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

San José State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.3%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–2
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan José State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.0–23.0), offensive efficiency (108.7–91.3), net efficiency (-9.8–-27.2), recent form (-8.6–-33.5).
Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–1.8), free throw rate (35.9–34.2).
Final
Air Force logo
Air Force
66—73
San José State logo
San José State
San José State by 7 • 59.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATSan José State
20-46FG25-39
43.0%FG%64.0%
8-223PT3-8
36.0%3PT%38.0%
18-26FT20-26
69.0%FT%77.0%
28Rebounds19
11Offensive Rebounds1
13Assists14
12Turnovers9
5Steals6
—Blocks2
19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Air Force
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Rytis PetraitisF356-91-113-1883300026
Beau BeckerForward325-143-80-081100013
Ethan TaylorGuard384-121-62-212000011
Jeffrey MillsGuard343-62-51-20310009
Kellan BoylanF171-11-12-22200005
Wesley CelichowskiC61-30-10-04100002
Byron BrownGuard280-00-00-23100000
Luke KearneyF60-00-00-02000000
Chase BeasleyGuard40-10-00-00000000
San José State
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Myron Amey Jr.G377-123-38-1041310025
Alvaro CardenasGuard396-90-210-1232100022
Tibet GorenerForward263-60-31-10200007
Trey AndersonForward293-40-00-03100006
Garrett AndersonGuard223-40-00-13411006
Adrame DiongueC61-10-01-21000003
Christian WiseF161-10-00-02110002
Diogo SeixasForward121-20-00-01200002
Latrell DavisG80-00-00-00000000
Rickey Mitchell Jr.G50-00-00-00100000

Advanced Game Stats

59.4Possessions59.4
111.1Offensive Efficiency122.9
122.9Defensive Efficiency111.1
-11.8Net Efficiency11.8
52.2%Effective FG%67.9%
56.6%True Shooting %71.1%
20.2%Turnover Rate15.2%
56.5%Free Throw Rate66.7%
47.8%3-Point Rate20.5%
1.08Assist / Turnover1.56
Game Summary
San José State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 59.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.