Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

92.8%Michigan State

7.2%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -16.0

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1289

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 84

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScorePenn State 68

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricPenn State

69.8MMH Power Index42.3

117.0Offensive Efficiency109.2

101.5Defensive Efficiency117.6

15.5Net Efficiency-8.4

7.2Strength of Schedule5.3

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

67.3Tempo67.5

54.1%Effective FG%53.4%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.6%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

36.6%Free Throw Rate34.6%

10.5Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–42.3), offensive efficiency (117.0–109.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–117.6), net efficiency (15.5–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–17.2).

Final

Michigan State

80—72

Penn State

Michigan State by 8 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATPenn State

30-59FG24-53

51.0%FG%45.0%

6-153PT12-23

40.0%3PT%52.0%

14-16FT12-12

88.0%FT%100.0%

33Rebounds23

11Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists12

11Turnovers15

6Steals3

3Blocks5

11Fouls10

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Hall	Forward	34	10-13	1-1	8-8	10	3	0	0	29
Jaden Akins	Guard	32	8-17	4-9	0-0	3	1	2	0	20
Carson Cooper	C	18	3-4	0-0	4-4	4	1	0	1	10
Tyson Walker	Guard	34	3-8	0-2	0-0	6	1	1	0	6
Xavier Booker	C	5	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
AJ Hoggard	Guard	25	2-9	0-2	0-0	1	5	3	1	4
Mady Sissoko	Center	17	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Coen Carr	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Tre Holloman	G	22	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	4	0	0	1
Jaxon Kohler	F	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	40	3-11	1-4	8-8	2	7	0	0	15
Zach Hicks	Forward	28	5-8	5-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	15
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	23	6-7	2-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	14
Kanye Clary	G	23	3-6	0-1	2-2	2	5	2	0	8
Puff Johnson	G	19	2-5	2-2	2-2	3	0	0	0	8
Qudus Wahab	Forward	14	2-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	3	4
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	15	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jameel Brown	G	12	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Favour Aire	C	19	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	2	2
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

119.0Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency119.0

11.9Net Efficiency-11.9

55.9%Effective FG%56.6%

60.1%True Shooting %61.3%

16.5%Turnover Rate22.2%

27.1%Free Throw Rate22.6%

25.4%3-Point Rate43.4%

1.36Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.