American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.7%American University

81.3%Navy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNavy -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINENavy -435

Navy

26-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 66

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreNavy 77

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricNavy

48.2MMH Power Index56.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency113.2

105.8Defensive Efficiency97.6

4.8Net Efficiency15.6

-4.3Strength of Schedule-8.1

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency16.4

67.5Tempo65.9

52.6%Effective FG%53.7%

15.7%Turnover Rate17.1%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

30.1%Free Throw Rate40.9%

3.3Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Navy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNavy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.8–48.2), offensive efficiency (113.2–110.6), defensive efficiency (97.6–105.8), net efficiency (15.6–4.8).

American University COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.3–-8.1), ball security (15.7–17.1).

Final

American University

59—42

Navy

American University by 17 • 58.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATNavy

19-43FG15-53

44.0%FG%28.0%

6-153PT7-23

40.0%3PT%30.0%

15-17FT5-13

88.0%FT%38.0%

36Rebounds31

4Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists11

12Turnovers8

5Steals5

2Blocks3

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	29	9-15	1-2	6-6	3	2	0	0	25
Lincoln Ball	Guard	31	4-6	0-0	3-3	10	2	0	0	11
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	31	2-8	1-4	3-4	3	6	0	0	8
Matt Mayock	F	29	1-6	1-5	3-4	3	0	2	1	6
Greg Jones	F	29	1-3	1-1	0-0	6	0	2	0	3
Adrian Samuels	G	18	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Chris Gleaton	Guard	15	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Noah Jones	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mason Whittaker	Forward	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Navy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Austin Benigni	G	32	4-12	0-3	3-4	2	4	0	0	11
Lysander Rehnstrom	Guard	21	3-8	3-8	0-4	3	0	1	0	9
Mac MacDonald	Guard	21	2-9	2-7	1-2	3	1	0	0	7
Mike Woods	F	16	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	2	2	0	4
Aidan Kehoe	C	14	2-4	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	1	4
Donovan Draper	F	32	1-9	1-3	0-0	9	2	1	1	3
Austin Inge	Guard	16	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Jordan Pennick	G	9	0-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	1	0	1
Mitch Fischer	Forward	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	0
Nyles Howard	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Carnegie Johnson	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cam Cole	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack Medalie	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.2Possessions58.2

101.4Offensive Efficiency72.2

72.2Defensive Efficiency101.4

29.2Net Efficiency-29.2

51.2%Effective FG%34.9%

57.8%True Shooting %35.5%

20.3%Turnover Rate14.0%

39.5%Free Throw Rate24.5%

34.9%3-Point Rate43.4%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

American University won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 58.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.