Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.9%Northern Kentucky

54.1%Green Bay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGreen Bay -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEGreen Bay -118

Green Bay

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 79

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreGreen Bay 80

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricGreen Bay

53.9MMH Power Index50.8

114.9Offensive Efficiency114.0

107.1Defensive Efficiency114.0

7.8Net Efficiency0.0

-2.9Strength of Schedule0.7

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency5.1

72.3Tempo65.7

54.5%Effective FG%55.4%

16.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

37.1%Free Throw Rate42.4%

5.7Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–50.8), offensive efficiency (114.9–114.0), defensive efficiency (107.1–114.0), net efficiency (7.8–0.0).

Green Bay COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.7–-2.9), recent form (5.1–4.6), shooting efficiency (55.4–54.5).

Final

Northern Kentucky

58—57

Green Bay

Northern Kentucky by 1 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATGreen Bay

20-53FG19-54

38.0%FG%35.0%

6-223PT7-32

27.0%3PT%22.0%

12-17FT12-16

71.0%FT%75.0%

35Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists9

7Turnovers11

6Steals3

3Blocks—

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
LJ Wells	F	31	4-7	2-5	3-5	9	2	0	1	13
Keeyan Itejere	F	29	5-6	0-0	2-2	4	0	3	0	12
Randall Pettus II	G	23	3-6	2-3	2-2	6	4	0	0	10
Trey Robinson	Guard	34	3-14	0-4	3-4	8	2	1	1	9
Marques Warrick	Guard	34	3-13	1-5	0-2	1	1	1	0	7
Michael Bradley	Guard	40	2-6	1-4	0-0	2	4	1	0	5
Jeramiah Israel	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	1	2
Cesar Tchilombo	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Green Bay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Noah Reynolds	Guard	31	8-16	0-4	2-3	4	4	0	18
Preston Ruedinger	G	23	4-7	1-2	1-1	2	1	0	10
Foster Wonders	G	21	2-8	2-8	2-2	2	0	0	8
Marcus Hall	F	26	1-3	0-1	5-6	4	0	0	7
David Douglas Jr.	G	28	2-8	2-8	0-0	2	2	2	6
Rich Byhre	Forward	26	1-8	1-8	0-0	3	1	0	3
Elijah Jones	F	26	1-2	1-1	0-2	14	1	0	3
Will Eames	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	2
Clarence Cummings III	Forward	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Wade	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

92.9Offensive Efficiency91.3

91.3Defensive Efficiency92.9

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

43.4%Effective FG%41.7%

47.5%True Shooting %46.3%

11.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.1%Free Throw Rate29.6%

41.5%3-Point Rate59.3%

1.86Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Northern Kentucky won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.