Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Southern Illinois

78.8%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -9.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -372

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 71

Projected Total151.8

Projected ScoreBelmont 81

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricBelmont

54.6MMH Power Index61.8

103.4Offensive Efficiency118.6

98.5Defensive Efficiency103.7

4.9Net Efficiency14.9

1.6Strength of Schedule-0.2

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

70.6Tempo70.7

49.5%Effective FG%60.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.8%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

32.3%Free Throw Rate32.7%

3.4Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–54.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–103.4), net efficiency (14.9–4.9), recent form (10.0–7.7).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.5–103.7), strength of schedule (1.6–-0.2), ball security (17.0–17.8).

Final

Southern Illinois

68—82

Belmont

Belmont by 14 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATBelmont

25-67FG29-58

37.0%FG%50.0%

8-323PT7-24

25.0%3PT%29.0%

10-15FT17-22

67.0%FT%77.0%

41Rebounds37

16Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists15

11Turnovers7

4Steals3

1Blocks5

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	40	5-17	2-6	5-6	5	4	0	0	17
Trent Brown	Guard	38	5-12	3-10	2-2	1	0	2	0	15
Troy D'Amico	Forward	31	4-10	3-7	1-2	7	4	0	0	12
Clarence Rupert	Forward	23	4-8	0-0	0-1	11	2	1	1	8
Scottie Ebube	C	11	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	10	2-6	0-3	0-1	6	0	1	0	4
AJ Ferguson	Guard	21	1-3	0-2	0-1	5	1	0	0	2
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	19	1-6	0-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
R.J. McGee	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Trey Miller	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sheridan Sharp	G	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	34	11-15	2-5	2-2	5	3	1	0	26
Cade Tyson	G	34	7-12	2-5	3-3	7	1	0	1	19
Malik Dia	F	25	3-17	0-6	3-4	8	4	0	1	9
Keishawn Davidson	Guard	37	3-4	2-3	0-2	3	0	2	1	8
Jayce Willingham	Guard	31	1-3	1-3	5-6	5	3	0	1	8
Brigham Rogers	F	13	3-4	0-1	1-1	1	3	0	1	7
Isaiah Walker	G	18	1-3	0-1	3-4	5	1	0	0	5
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Win Miller	G	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

98.1Offensive Efficiency118.3

118.3Defensive Efficiency98.1

-20.2Net Efficiency20.2

43.3%Effective FG%56.0%

45.9%True Shooting %59.9%

15.9%Turnover Rate10.1%

22.4%Free Throw Rate37.9%

47.8%3-Point Rate41.4%

1.18Assist / Turnover2.14

Game Summary

Belmont won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.