Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.4%Northern Iowa

32.6%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL136.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -207

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 70

Projected Total136.1

Projected ScoreValparaiso 66

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricValparaiso

61MMH Power Index49.9

108.4Offensive Efficiency106.6

96.4Defensive Efficiency105.8

12.0Net Efficiency0.8

2.2Strength of Schedule0.3

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

64.1Tempo67.5

54.6%Effective FG%48.7%

14.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

26.2%Free Throw Rate40.0%

7.7Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–49.9), offensive efficiency (108.4–106.6), defensive efficiency (96.4–105.8), net efficiency (12.0–0.8).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (32.4–21.9), free throw rate (40.0–26.2).

Final

Northern Iowa

86—67

Valparaiso

Northern Iowa by 19 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATValparaiso

34-51FG26-57

67.0%FG%46.0%

8-163PT10-25

50.0%3PT%40.0%

10-14FT5-8

71.0%FT%63.0%

32Rebounds21

6Offensive Rebounds7

20Assists12

14Turnovers12

6Steals8

1Blocks—

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tytan Anderson	Guard	25	9-12	0-0	2-3	2	2	1	0	20
Jacob Hutson	Center	26	8-9	1-1	2-3	3	4	0	0	19
Landon Wolf	G	33	5-7	3-5	3-4	5	3	2	0	16
Bowen Born	Guard	17	5-9	1-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	11
Trey Campbell	G	29	3-6	1-1	2-2	8	4	0	0	9
Michael Duax	F	22	1-1	1-1	1-2	6	2	1	0	4
Kyle Pock	F	15	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	3
RJ Taylor	G	20	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	2
Cole Henry	Forward	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Drew Daniel	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Isaiah Stafford	G	38	8-16	4-9	1-1	0	1	2	21
Jahari Williamson	G	23	5-9	2-5	0-0	3	0	0	12
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	40	3-6	2-3	3-4	2	10	2	11
Cooper Schwieger	F	24	4-9	0-2	1-1	6	0	0	9
Jerome Palm	F	24	2-4	0-0	0-2	2	0	2	4
Connor Barrett	Guard	12	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	1	3
Anthony Sciarroni	Guard	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	3
Kaspar Sepp	F	14	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	2
Ola Ajiboye	F	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2
Jaxon Edwards	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

130.7Offensive Efficiency101.8

101.8Defensive Efficiency130.7

28.9Net Efficiency-28.9

74.5%Effective FG%54.4%

74.6%True Shooting %55.1%

21.3%Turnover Rate18.2%

27.5%Free Throw Rate14.0%

31.4%3-Point Rate43.9%

1.43Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.