Oregon State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.3%Oregon State

68.7%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona State -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona State -219

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon State 73

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreArizona State 79

Team Comparison

Oregon StateMetricArizona State

48.5MMH Power Index51

105.8Offensive Efficiency108.1

110.3Defensive Efficiency110.9

-4.5Net Efficiency-2.8

4.5Strength of Schedule7.0

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

67.2Tempo70.6

50.6%Effective FG%51.3%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.1%

26.4%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

43.9%Free Throw Rate40.2%

-3.0Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–48.5), offensive efficiency (108.1–105.8), net efficiency (-2.8–-4.5), strength of schedule (7.0–4.5).

Oregon State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.3–110.9), recent form (0.0–-7.5), free throw rate (43.9–40.2).

Final

Oregon State

61—79

Arizona State

Arizona State by 18 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Oregon StateTEAM STATArizona State

25-56FG30-52

45.0%FG%58.0%

5-183PT7-20

28.0%3PT%35.0%

6-10FT12-16

60.0%FT%75.0%

28Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists17

14Turnovers15

6Steals7

1Blocks4

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Bilodeau	F	32	8-13	1-3	4-6	3	4	0	0	21
Michael Rataj	G	32	5-9	2-4	0-0	8	4	1	0	12
Jordan Pope	G	33	4-12	1-5	2-2	0	3	1	0	11
Dexter Akanno	Guard	33	3-6	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	6
Justin Rochelin	G	21	3-6	0-2	0-0	7	0	1	0	6
DaJohn Craig	G	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Josiah Lake II	G	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	2	0	2
Jayden Stevens	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Chol Marial	Center	9	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
KC Ibekwe	C	6	0-3	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	1	0
Gavin Marrs	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamiya Neal	Guard	32	9-14	2-6	1-4	4	3	1	2	21
Adam Miller	G	33	5-8	2-5	4-4	4	5	1	0	16
Jose Perez	Guard	30	5-10	0-1	6-6	2	3	0	1	16
Frankie Collins	G	30	6-10	2-3	0-1	3	2	1	0	14
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	18	2-2	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	1	5
Akil Watson	F	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Kamari Lands	G	17	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Bryant Selebangue	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Alonzo Gaffney	Forward	26	0-2	0-2	0-0	5	3	3	0	0
Andrew Mayock	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Braelon Green	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jordan Williams	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

90.8Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency90.8

-26.8Net Efficiency26.8

49.1%Effective FG%64.4%

50.2%True Shooting %66.3%

21.3%Turnover Rate21.9%

17.9%Free Throw Rate30.8%

32.1%3-Point Rate38.5%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Arizona State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.