UNLV

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.1%UNLV

46.9%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUNLV -113

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNLV 76

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreFresno State 77

Team Comparison

UNLVMetricFresno State

52.8MMH Power Index47.1

111.0Offensive Efficiency104.9

109.6Defensive Efficiency104.9

1.4Net Efficiency0.0

2.7Strength of Schedule1.5

1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

71.4Tempo69.4

53.7%Effective FG%51.3%

17.2%Turnover Rate18.2%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

41.6%Free Throw Rate35.5%

1.0Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNLV HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNLV holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.8–47.1), offensive efficiency (111.0–104.9), net efficiency (1.4–0.0), strength of schedule (2.7–1.5).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–109.6).

Final

UNLV

67—65

Fresno State

UNLV by 2 • 59.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNLVTEAM STATFresno State

24-44FG23-49

55.0%FG%47.0%

1-83PT5-21

13.0%3PT%24.0%

18-23FT14-18

78.0%FT%78.0%

32Rebounds19

8Offensive Rebounds5

8Assists15

13Turnovers6

3Steals8

3Blocks—

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Whaley Jr.	F	28	6-7	0-0	5-7	5	0	0	1	17
Keylan Boone	Forward	35	6-9	0-0	3-3	7	3	1	0	15
Kalib Boone	Forward	28	4-9	0-0	4-6	6	2	1	1	12
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	35	4-8	1-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	11
Luis Rodriguez	Guard	37	3-5	0-2	4-5	6	1	1	1	10
Jackie Johnson III	Guard	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Brooklyn Hicks	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Justin Webster	Guard	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Shane Nowell	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Leo Colimerio	Forward	37	10-13	2-2	8-9	4	1	0	30
Xavier DuSell	Guard	39	6-11	2-7	0-0	3	2	0	14
Isaiah Hill	Guard	40	3-7	0-4	0-0	1	7	1	6
Jalen Weaver	Guard	28	1-5	0-2	4-5	3	2	4	6
Isaiah Pope	Guard	38	1-9	0-3	2-2	3	2	2	4
Steven Vasquez	Guard	6	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	1	1	3
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	11	1-1	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	2
Enoch Boakye	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.3Possessions59.3

113.0Offensive Efficiency109.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency113.0

3.4Net Efficiency-3.4

55.7%Effective FG%52.0%

61.0%True Shooting %56.5%

21.7%Turnover Rate10.2%

52.3%Free Throw Rate36.7%

18.2%3-Point Rate42.9%

0.62Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

UNLV won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 59.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.