Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.4%Northwestern

36.6%Rutgers

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL146.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -173

Rutgers

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 75

Projected Total146.5

Projected ScoreRutgers 72

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricRutgers

55.4MMH Power Index45.9

111.6Offensive Efficiency104.2

109.8Defensive Efficiency112.2

1.8Net Efficiency-8.0

5.6Strength of Schedule3.9

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.6

65.6Tempo67.4

51.9%Effective FG%47.4%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

34.8%Free Throw Rate36.3%

1.2Average Margin-5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–45.9), offensive efficiency (111.6–104.2), defensive efficiency (109.8–112.2), net efficiency (1.8–-8.0).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-1.6–-2.7), offensive rebounding (29.2–28.2), free throw rate (36.3–34.8).

Final

Northwestern

60—63

Rutgers

Rutgers by 3 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATRutgers

18-50FG21-53

36.0%FG%40.0%

8-213PT6-14

38.0%3PT%43.0%

16-19FT15-25

84.0%FT%60.0%

38Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds10

7Assists13

15Turnovers9

6Steals10

8Blocks9

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boo Buie	Guard	39	7-14	6-10	7-7	5	1	1	0	27
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	36	4-15	1-6	2-3	14	2	0	1	11
Justin Mullins	G	26	3-3	1-1	1-2	2	1	1	4	8
Nick Martinelli	F	39	2-9	0-1	2-3	6	0	0	0	6
Matthew Nicholson	Center	31	1-2	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	3	4
Ryan Langborg	Guard	10	0-3	0-1	2-2	1	1	3	0	2
Blake Preston	Forward	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jordan Clayton	G	9	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Luke Hunger	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Williams	G	34	6-13	0-1	3-5	5	6	1	3	15
Jamichael Davis	G	28	3-6	1-3	4-6	2	0	2	0	11
Aundre Hyatt	Forward	29	2-8	2-4	4-5	6	1	0	0	10
Clifford Omoruyi	Center	34	4-7	0-0	1-3	9	0	3	5	9
Oskar Palmquist	Forward	14	3-4	3-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Derek Simpson	G	33	3-10	0-0	2-2	0	3	3	0	8
Emmanuel Ogbole	C	6	0-1	0-0	1-4	1	0	1	1	1
Noah Fernandes	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	3	0	0	0
Gavin Griffiths	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Austin Williams	Guard	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

93.0Offensive Efficiency97.7

97.7Defensive Efficiency93.0

-4.7Net Efficiency4.7

44.0%Effective FG%45.3%

50.8%True Shooting %48.6%

23.1%Turnover Rate14.1%

38.0%Free Throw Rate47.2%

42.0%3-Point Rate26.4%

0.47Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Rutgers won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.