Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Wagner

34.8%Saint Francis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWagner -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.1

MODEL MONEYLINEWagner -187

Saint Francis

7-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 77

Projected Total149.1

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 72

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricSaint Francis

42.9MMH Power Index32.7

105.5Offensive Efficiency101.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency114.7

-0.6Net Efficiency-13.5

-5.0Strength of Schedule-2.3

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.5

67.6Tempo70.6

50.2%Effective FG%49.8%

18.9%Turnover Rate18.3%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %28.4%

31.6%Free Throw Rate31.2%

-0.4Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wagner HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWagner holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.9–32.7), offensive efficiency (105.5–101.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–114.7), net efficiency (-0.6–-13.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-5.0), ball security (18.3–18.9).

Final

Wagner

65—63

Saint Francis

Wagner by 2 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATSaint Francis

24-68FG24-49

35.0%FG%49.0%

6-213PT4-13

29.0%3PT%31.0%

11-13FT11-21

85.0%FT%52.0%

36Rebounds33

16Offensive Rebounds6

7Assists10

10Turnovers14

6Steals4

3Blocks4

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Melvin Council Jr.	G	45	7-18	1-2	5-6	8	2	3	2	20
Tahron Allen	Not Available	27	5-18	1-4	1-2	4	0	0	0	12
Keyontae Lewis	F	23	4-6	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	1	10
Seck Zongo	Forward	23	2-4	0-0	3-3	6	0	0	0	7
Tyje Kelton	F	20	2-6	2-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Javier Ezquerra	G	44	2-6	1-5	0-0	5	3	1	0	5
Julian Brown	Guard	43	2-10	1-4	0-0	5	2	0	0	5

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	38	6-10	3-4	1-2	7	0	1	0	16
Elijah Wilborn	F	34	6-15	0-0	4-9	8	2	2	0	16
Gestin Liberis	F	11	4-5	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	2	9
Carlos Lopez	G	44	3-7	1-5	1-1	2	3	0	0	8
Aidan Harris	Forward	32	2-2	0-0	1-2	6	0	1	1	5
Miles Webb	F	13	2-4	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Ace Talbert	G	37	1-4	0-2	0-2	4	3	0	0	2
Wisler Sanon II	Guard	13	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	2	0	1	2
Chris Moncrief	G	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

96.2Offensive Efficiency93.2

93.2Defensive Efficiency96.2

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

39.7%Effective FG%53.1%

43.8%True Shooting %53.4%

14.7%Turnover Rate20.9%

19.1%Free Throw Rate42.9%

30.9%3-Point Rate26.5%

0.70Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Wagner won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.