New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.2%New Mexico State

65.8%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -192

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 72

Projected Total149.0

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 77

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricMiddle Tennessee

51.2MMH Power Index52.5

108.9Offensive Efficiency109.6

104.5Defensive Efficiency105.7

4.4Net Efficiency3.9

-0.7Strength of Schedule0.4

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

68.9Tempo68.8

48.6%Effective FG%52.2%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.7%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

37.0%Free Throw Rate33.2%

3.1Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.5–105.7), net efficiency (4.4–3.9), ball security (15.2–16.7), offensive rebounding (33.1–31.3).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (52.5–51.2), offensive efficiency (109.6–108.9), strength of schedule (0.4–-0.7).

Final

New Mexico State

69—76

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee by 7 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

30-63FG24-52

48.0%FG%46.0%

3-133PT9-27

23.0%3PT%33.0%

6-11FT19-23

55.0%FT%83.0%

35Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists9

7Turnovers8

3Steals4

4Blocks2

21Fouls10

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Harris	G	33	9-14	2-6	2-2	1	1	0	0	22
Femi Odukale	Guard	38	6-13	0-1	2-3	11	3	0	4	14
Kaosi Ezeagu	Forward	29	6-11	0-0	1-4	9	0	0	0	13
Jordan Rawls	Guard	34	5-14	0-3	1-1	2	3	1	0	11
Christian Cook	Guard	34	3-7	1-2	0-1	3	1	2	0	7
Jaylin Jackson-Posey	Guard	15	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Tanahj Pettway	Point Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Yaak Yaak	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jonathan Kanyanga	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jestin Porter	G	33	10-19	4-9	2-2	5	4	0	0	26
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	38	6-8	2-2	2-2	9	2	0	2	16
Jacob Johnson	Guard	31	3-5	0-0	6-10	8	1	0	0	12
Tre Green	G	29	2-4	2-4	6-6	3	0	1	0	12
Jalen Jordan	Guard	13	2-5	1-3	1-1	3	1	2	0	6
Justin Bufford	Guard	35	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	0	2
Elias King	Guard	19	1-9	0-8	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Chris Loofe	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

109.4Offensive Efficiency120.4

120.4Defensive Efficiency109.4

-11.1Net Efficiency11.1

50.0%Effective FG%54.8%

50.6%True Shooting %60.4%

11.2%Turnover Rate12.5%

17.5%Free Throw Rate44.2%

20.6%3-Point Rate51.9%

1.14Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.