Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%Texas State

67.5%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL145.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -208

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 70

Projected Total145.3

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 75

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricSouth Alabama

49.4MMH Power Index51.4

107.7Offensive Efficiency110.3

103.4Defensive Efficiency103.9

4.3Net Efficiency6.4

-4.7Strength of Schedule-3.7

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

68.6Tempo67.4

51.3%Effective FG%53.2%

18.4%Turnover Rate12.8%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

36.0%Free Throw Rate39.8%

2.9Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.4), offensive efficiency (110.3–107.7), net efficiency (6.4–4.3), strength of schedule (-3.7–-4.7).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–103.9), recent form (9.1–3.4), offensive rebounding (34.3–24.9).

Final

Texas State

55—72

South Alabama

South Alabama by 17 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATSouth Alabama

18-44FG26-50

41.0%FG%52.0%

2-63PT7-15

33.0%3PT%47.0%

17-26FT13-17

65.0%FT%76.0%

26Rebounds27

8Offensive Rebounds6

6Assists11

16Turnovers11

6Steals8

2Blocks1

13Fouls19

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Love	Forward	26	3-5	0-0	7-8	5	2	1	0	13
Davion Sykes	G	33	4-9	0-0	4-8	5	0	2	0	12
Jordan Mason	G	34	4-10	1-2	2-2	2	0	1	0	11
Christian Turner	Forward	28	2-3	0-0	2-4	5	1	1	0	6
Elijah Tate	Guard	20	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	5
Kaden Gumbs	G	17	2-9	0-0	1-2	4	2	0	0	5
Joshua O'Garro	G	15	1-2	0-0	1-2	0	0	1	1	3
Dylan Dawson	Guard	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Coleton Benson	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Chris Nix	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Dontae Horne	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isiah Gaiter	Guard	30	8-11	2-2	0-0	4	0	2	1	18
Samuel Tabe	Guard	23	3-5	0-0	7-8	3	1	2	0	13
Marcus Millender	G	32	4-7	1-1	2-3	2	6	0	0	11
Julian Margrave	F	21	2-4	2-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
Thomas Howell	Forward	21	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
Marshall Kearing	Forward	10	2-4	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	9	1-3	0-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	5
Tyrell Jones	Guard	35	2-10	0-3	0-0	3	2	1	0	4
Judah Brown	Forward	18	1-2	1-2	1-2	3	2	0	0	4
Ethan Kizer	F	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

86.2Offensive Efficiency112.9

112.9Defensive Efficiency86.2

-26.6Net Efficiency26.6

43.2%Effective FG%59.0%

48.8%True Shooting %62.0%

24.9%Turnover Rate17.4%

59.1%Free Throw Rate34.0%

13.6%3-Point Rate30.0%

0.38Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.