Austin Peay

22-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%Austin Peay

60.3%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -152

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 78

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 81

Team Comparison

Austin PeayMetricCentral Arkansas

54.8MMH Power Index54

115.0Offensive Efficiency113.9

103.1Defensive Efficiency105.2

11.9Net Efficiency8.7

-5.8Strength of Schedule-3.9

8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

71.0Tempo71.0

53.9%Effective FG%54.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

39.0%Free Throw Rate30.7%

8.4Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–54.0), offensive efficiency (115.0–113.9), defensive efficiency (103.1–105.2), net efficiency (11.9–8.7).

Central Arkansas COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.9–-5.8), recent form (9.8–8.1), shooting efficiency (54.3–53.9).

Final

Austin Peay

77—67

Central Arkansas

Austin Peay by 10 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Austin PeayTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

21-59FG26-63

36.0%FG%41.0%

11-253PT4-18

44.0%3PT%22.0%

24-28FT11-20

86.0%FT%55.0%

37Rebounds45

12Offensive Rebounds16

7Assists9

7Turnovers14

13Steals4

—Blocks5

18Fouls24

Player Box Score

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dezi Jones	Guard	38	6-18	4-5	9-9	4	2	5	25
Ja'Monta Black	Guard	40	7-14	5-10	2-2	3	2	3	21
Isaac Haney	Guard	35	2-9	1-5	7-8	2	1	3	12
Sai Witt	Forward	28	3-7	0-0	4-7	11	1	1	10
Dez White	G	34	1-6	1-5	2-2	2	1	1	5
Hansel Enmanuel	PG	18	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	4
Jordan Wilmore	Center	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0
Daniel Loos	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Jonathan Dunn	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
JaVar Daniel	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elias Cato	Forward	32	8-13	1-2	3-3	9	2	0	2	20
Tucker Anderson	F	33	4-9	1-3	3-5	8	0	0	0	12
Javion Guy-King	G	18	4-8	0-1	2-5	2	1	0	0	10
Daniel Sofield	Guard	22	3-8	1-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	7
Johannes Kirsipuu	G	15	2-6	1-4	1-3	2	3	2	0	6
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	12	2-8	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	1	4
Caleb Carr	Forward	6	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Masai Olowokere	Guard	33	1-6	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	19	1-1	0-0	0-2	4	1	1	1	2
Ibbe Klintman	Guard	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

111.8Offensive Efficiency97.2

97.2Defensive Efficiency111.8

14.5Net Efficiency-14.5

44.9%Effective FG%44.4%

53.3%True Shooting %46.2%

10.4%Turnover Rate19.9%

47.5%Free Throw Rate31.7%

42.4%3-Point Rate28.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.