Long Beach State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%Long Beach State

79.0%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -376

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 73

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreUC Davis 83

Team Comparison

Long Beach StateMetricUC Davis

41.1MMH Power Index48.4

103.8Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.8Defensive Efficiency103.7

-4.0Net Efficiency3.5

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.9

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

72.2Tempo72.4

51.5%Effective FG%52.3%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

31.1%Free Throw Rate41.5%

-2.9Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–41.1), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.8), defensive efficiency (103.7–107.8), net efficiency (3.5–-4.0).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-1.9).

Final

Long Beach State

78—74

UC Davis

Long Beach State by 4 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Long Beach StateTEAM STATUC Davis

29-63FG25-67

46.0%FG%37.0%

7-193PT10-27

37.0%3PT%37.0%

13-17FT14-21

76.0%FT%67.0%

46Rebounds37

18Offensive Rebounds19

14Assists14

19Turnovers12

8Steals13

7Blocks3

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	33	6-11	0-1	8-11	11	2	2	1	20
Messiah Thompson	Guard	28	7-14	4-11	0-0	3	1	0	0	18
Marcus Tsohonis	Guard	29	6-16	0-2	5-5	4	2	1	0	17
Lassina Traore	F	34	3-8	0-0	0-1	16	6	1	0	6
AJ George	G	23	3-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	6
Jadon Jones	G	27	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	2	2	3	3
Isa Silva	G	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	3
Varick Lewis	G	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	1	3
Chayce Polynice	Center	2	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Amari Stroud	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jason Hart Jr.	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Pepper	Guard	35	10-19	8-13	4-4	6	3	3	0	32
TY Johnson	Guard	37	6-22	2-7	5-6	2	3	6	0	19
Niko Rocak	F	31	6-8	0-0	1-4	8	0	1	0	13
Kane Milling	Guard	33	1-8	0-5	2-3	2	1	1	1	4
Francesco Borra	Forward	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	12	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Ade Adebayo	Forward	28	0-4	0-1	0-2	2	4	0	1	0
Pablo Tamba	F	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	2	0	0
Sione Lose	Guard	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

109.7Offensive Efficiency104.1

104.1Defensive Efficiency109.7

5.6Net Efficiency-5.6

51.6%Effective FG%44.8%

54.9%True Shooting %48.1%

26.4%Turnover Rate17.1%

27.0%Free Throw Rate31.3%

30.2%3-Point Rate40.3%

0.74Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Long Beach State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.