Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.3%Northern Arizona

76.7%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSacramento State -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.7

MODEL MONEYLINESacramento State -329

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 74

Projected Total156.7

Projected ScoreSacramento State 82

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricSacramento State

36.9MMH Power Index43

107.1Offensive Efficiency106.1

114.8Defensive Efficiency112.0

-7.7Net Efficiency-5.9

-1.8Strength of Schedule0.9

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

66.6Tempo73.2

53.5%Effective FG%48.5%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.2%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

33.6%Free Throw Rate41.8%

-5.1Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sacramento State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSacramento State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.0–36.9), defensive efficiency (112.0–114.8), net efficiency (-5.9–-7.7), strength of schedule (0.9–-1.8).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.1–106.1), shooting efficiency (53.5–48.5).

Final

Northern Arizona

73—58

Sacramento State

Northern Arizona by 15 • 57.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATSacramento State

27-54FG22-57

50.0%FG%39.0%

13-263PT1-10

50.0%3PT%10.0%

6-9FT13-20

67.0%FT%65.0%

25Rebounds41

9Offensive Rebounds22

20Assists11

8Turnovers13

11Steals6

3Blocks5

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	37	8-18	6-11	2-2	2	4	2	0	24
Carson Basham	Forward	21	6-7	0-0	3-5	4	1	2	2	15
Diego Campisano	F	17	4-5	3-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	11
C.J. Ford	Guard	10	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	6
Jayden Jackson	G	37	2-7	0-1	1-2	8	4	5	0	5
Oakland Fort	G	37	2-8	1-4	0-0	4	6	1	0	5
Rockwell Reynolds	Forward	6	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Liam Lloyd	Guard	32	1-5	1-4	0-0	4	3	0	1	3
Tichyque Musaka	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Kai	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duncan Powell	F	29	8-12	0-0	4-6	10	1	0	0	20
Jacob Holt	Forward	25	4-6	0-1	5-5	6	0	1	2	13
Zee Hamoda	G	35	4-16	1-4	2-5	7	2	2	2	11
Bowyn Beatty	F	18	3-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Austin Patterson	Guard	30	2-7	0-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Akol Mawein	Forward	8	1-3	0-0	1-1	0	0	2	0	3
Bailey Nunn	G	6	0-3	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Michael Wilson	G	25	0-2	0-1	0-1	4	3	0	1	0
Emil Skytt	G	24	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	4	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

57.4Possessions57.4

127.2Offensive Efficiency101.0

101.0Defensive Efficiency127.2

26.1Net Efficiency-26.1

62.0%Effective FG%39.5%

62.6%True Shooting %43.6%

14.0%Turnover Rate22.6%

16.7%Free Throw Rate35.1%

48.1%3-Point Rate17.5%

2.50Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 57.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.