Portland

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.4%Portland

54.6%San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego -120

San Diego

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland 76

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreSan Diego 79

Team Comparison

PortlandMetricSan Diego

42.7MMH Power Index39.8

104.8Offensive Efficiency106.2

110.6Defensive Efficiency111.1

-5.8Net Efficiency-4.9

1.8Strength of Schedule-1.2

-8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.2

71.0Tempo70.1

52.0%Effective FG%52.0%

19.3%Turnover Rate17.8%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

36.9%Free Throw Rate26.3%

-4.1Average Margin-3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

EVEN MATCHUP

WIN PROBABILITY54.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNo clear statistical separation

Final

Portland

66—71

San Diego

San Diego by 5 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PortlandTEAM STATSan Diego

23-66FG24-60

35.0%FG%40.0%

8-323PT9-24

25.0%3PT%38.0%

12-14FT14-17

86.0%FT%82.0%

46Rebounds35

17Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists12

16Turnovers11

4Steals11

3Blocks7

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Portland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Harris	F	33	6-12	1-4	6-7	10	1	3	1	19
Bol Dengdit	C	33	6-10	3-5	0-0	10	4	0	0	15
Tyler Robertson	Guard	39	4-10	0-2	5-5	8	4	0	0	13
Vukasin Masic	G	33	4-13	3-7	0-0	7	5	1	0	11
Juanse Gorosito	G	22	1-10	1-8	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams	F	14	1-5	0-2	1-2	3	0	0	2	3
Chris Austin	Guard	23	1-5	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Coleman Lemke	Forward	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Deuce Turner	G	21	4-10	3-7	6-6	6	1	0	0	17
PJ Hayes IV	Guard	31	4-9	4-6	2-3	4	0	2	1	14
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	27	4-9	1-1	4-4	4	2	4	2	13
Steven Jamerson II	F	34	5-6	0-0	0-0	7	1	2	4	10
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	33	4-14	0-4	1-2	2	5	1	0	9
Dragos Lungu	G	19	2-6	1-3	0-0	4	1	2	0	5
Deven Dahlke	Guard	15	1-5	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Jimmy Oladokun Jr.	F	11	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	1
Emmanuel Callas	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dominic Muncey	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

93.1Offensive Efficiency100.1

100.1Defensive Efficiency93.1

-7.1Net Efficiency7.1

40.9%Effective FG%47.5%

45.4%True Shooting %52.1%

22.3%Turnover Rate15.7%

21.2%Free Throw Rate28.3%

48.5%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.88Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

San Diego won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.